DAILY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK ON USD/JPY : March 14, 2013

acetraderfx

Active Trader
Jan 9, 2009
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DAILY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK ON USD/JPY

13 Mar 2013 23:07GMT


Trend Daily Chart
Up
Daily Indicators
Bearish divergences
21 HR EMA
95.99
55 HR EMA
95.95

Trend Hourly Chart
Sideways
Hourly Indicators
Neutral
13 HR RSI
53
14 HR DMI
-ve

Daily Analysis
Consolidation with a neutral bias
Resistance
97.34 - 50% proj. of 92.92-96.71 fm 95.44
96.71 - Tue's fresh 3-1/2 year high
96.51 - Tue's European high
Support
95.44 - Y'ay's low
95.10 - Last Thur's high
94.77 - Feb's high (Feb 25)

. USD/JPY - 96.04.. The greenback went through a roller-coaster session on Wed. Although price came under selling pressure in Asia on cross-buying of yen n fell to session low of 95.44 in Europe, the pair rallied to 96.27 in NY due to dlr's broad-based rally on upbeat U.S. retail sales.

. Looking at the hourly chart, dlr's aforesaid strg bounce fm 95.44 signals pullback fm Tue's 3-1/2 year peak of 96.71 has made a low there n consolidation with mild upside bias is seen, abv 96.51 is needed to signal recent uptrend has once again resumed n bring re-test of 96.71, break wud yield subsequent headway twd 97.34, this is 50% proj. of intermediate rise fm 92.92-96.71 measured fm 95.44. Having said that, as both hourly as well as daily technical indicators wud display prominent 'bearish divergences' on such a move, suggesting risk is seen for a much-needed correction to take place very soon.

. Today, dlr has traded with a steady tone ahead of Asian open n as long as 95.63 holds, marginal gain abv y'day's 96.27 high can't be ruled out but 96.71 wud hold on 1st testing. Below 95.63 wud bring re-test of 95.44, then 95.10/20.

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autotrader1

Active Trader
Daily Pivot Point
Resistance 1: 96.0057 Resistance 2: 96.7323 Resistance 3: 97.9223
PIVOT POINT: 95.5423
Support 1: 94.8157 Support 2: 94.3523 Support 3: 93.1623
The MACD is currently BULLISH. The MACD crossed above the signal line 6 days ago. RSI generated a sell signal 4 days ago. DMI generated a buy signal 11 days ago.
The close is currently
ABOVE its 200 daily moving average
ABOVE its 90 daily moving average
ABOVE its 30 daily moving average
The current market condition for US Dollar / Japanese Yen is Very Bullish
The most recently confirmed up trendline for US Dollar / Japanese Yen has an ending point currently at 92.67. Expect prices to have some difficulty falling below this trendline. A break below this trendline would be a bearish sign.
Buy on dip at 94.815 and place stop loss at 96.73