I read about many Excel functions that help you calculate risk management, pivot points and many other.
What do you use? is it usefull? what functions whould you want to use that you don't have today? Thanks
I designed and built and entire predictive model trading system using Microsoft Excel. The entire project began about 10 years ago and I've been trading with it in various stages of development for about 7 years.
The vast majority of the trading I've done with has been less than part-term because it has always been a work in progress. The completed prototype has been active now for about 3 years.
The system uses only Daily, Weekly, Monthly and some Annual bars of data. Back when I was in the concept stages, there was no clean way to get real-time streaming data into Excel. So, I could not use the lower time frame data (M1 through H4). Therefore, the system has always produced only one (1) trade signal per 24 hours, with a target time of up to 72 hours on average, but many trades closed within 24 hours.
The system does over 1,400 (between 1,100 to about 1,500 depending on configuration) primary calculations that produce 117 primary trade signals, which are then filtered down to the top 27 highest performing signals. Those 27 signals are used as input to what I call a MetaBrain decision support engine where they are then filtered via ranking system that learns, down to the best eight (8) signals. The MetaBrain then further ranks those eight inputs to the final two (2) signals that have built-in magnitude or performance weighting. The system then selects the one (1) trade signal for the day from that built-in performance weighting and produces the Singularity - the day's trade signal.
The system has a four (4) tier design architecture:
- Price Database
- Signal Engine
- Predictive Engine
- Read-Only GUI (Global and Tactical)
It also has a set of non-conventional chart designs for each pair that look nothing like standard price charts.
The were researched and designed by me. The are all non-standard technical indicators built and designed on the concept of Price Delta. The were designed into two groups: Delta Class I, and Delta Class II. The Delta Class I designs are some of my earlier indicator concepts, while Delta Class I designs were the nextgen indicator concepts that came later in the development phase. None of the indicator concepts use any traditional or conventional indicator calculations and all of them are original and unique designs based on concepts that I've never seen anyone (even after 10 years) either talk about, or make public.
So, yes. It can be done. Most people would be surprised at what can be done with a simple spreadsheet. Of course, you can make it as complex as necessary. In trading, there is no better "clean sheet" form of design that I can imagine. To transform a blank (empty) spreadsheet into a predictive model that learns, is not an easy task and it will take a huge amount of time and creative thinking. But, it can be done. Along the way you will learn how to design and implement your own custom functions, algorithms, formulas, modules and sub-routines. You will also develop very creative ways to avoid Circular Logic, which by itself will force you to design a better (safer) system overall.
Here is an old pic of what the Global View (GUI) looks like. It shows the top six (6) pairs as ranked by the system, their respective trade signal for the day and all the associated strategic information that I need to trade the pair. This is an old pic, so the date and prices are not current:
GlobalView:
This is an old research pic (not current data) of what the TacticalView GUI looks like:
TacticalView:
These are some random snap-shots of what parts of the Signal Engine core look like (not current data):
Hope this helps to spark the imagination just a bit.