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Analysis of margin levels for December 23, 2025 XAUUSD​

XAUUSD: BUY 4397.92-4447.92, TP1-4497.92, TP2-4599.92.

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• Long-term trend: long. The maximum accumulation of volumes of the current contract is located in the range of 4190.00–4225.00. At the moment, investment operations on XAUUSD are being carried out above the specified range, which indicates the strength of buyers.

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• Medium-term trend: long. The maximum accumulation of medium-term trend volumes is located in the range of 4200.00-4220.00 and 4315.00-4335.00. Currently, investment transactions are being made on XAUUSD above the specified range, which indicates the strength of buyers.

• The area of favorable purchase prices from the point of view of margin collateral is located between zones 1/4 and 1/2 built from the maximum of 23.12.2025.

• Quote for the upper limit of zone 1/4 – 4447.92.

• Quote for the upper limit of zone 1/2 – 4397.92.

• Intraday targets: update of highs from 23.12.2025 – 4497.92.

• Medium-term targets: test of the lower boundary of SNKZ-4599.92. XAUUSD: BUY 4397.92-4447.92, TP1-4497.92, TP2-4599.92.

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• Trading recommendations: buy from the range of favorable prices when a reversal pattern forms.

• Buy: 4397.92–4447.92, Take Profit 1–4497.92, Take Profit 2–4599.92.

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[Fresh Forex]

Market Fundamental Analysis for December 24, 2025 EURUSD​

Event to pay attention to today:

15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims

EURUSD:

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On 24 December 2025, EUR/USD is holding near 1.1800, while the US dollar remains under pressure: the market is pricing in continued Fed rate cuts in 2026, even after strong US GDP growth in the third quarter. A weaker tone in consumer surveys adds to the picture, and the pre-holiday week with reduced liquidity increases the pair’s sensitivity to any headlines.

On the euro side, support comes from the European Central Bank’s steadier stance after the 18 December decision to keep rates unchanged and revise growth and inflation projections higher. This reduces the likelihood of near-term easing in the euro area and helps maintain interest in European assets against the backdrop of the euro’s notable strengthening through 2025.

Today’s focus is US initial jobless claims and any signals about the 2026 rate path. If expectations of easing in the US persist and there are no new reasons for rate cuts in the euro area, the balance remains in favour of the euro, so the base scenario is to buy the pair.

Trading recommendation: BUY 1.1800, SL 1.1770, TP 1.1890

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Market Fundamental Analysis for December 26, 2025 GBPUSD​

GBPUSD:​

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GBP/USD is trading around 1.3515, supported by broad US dollar weakness in a thin market after the Christmas holidays. Market participants continue to assess the outlook for US monetary policy: expectations of lower rates in 2026 and uncertainty around the Fed’s next steps keep interest in the dollar subdued.

Fundamentally, the pound looks resilient after the Bank of England’s latest decision to cut the rate to 3.75% on a very close vote. This configuration suggests that further easing will be limited and data-dependent, which supports the yield appeal of UK assets. The market was also helped by updated economic estimates: revised third-quarter growth and improved external income reduced fears of a sharp slowdown.

In the near term, the key factor remains the balance between the pace of inflation cooling in the UK and rate expectations in the US. As long as the market believes a rate cut is more likely in the US than in the UK, the pair retains upside potential. In this environment, preference is for buying the pound against the dollar from current levels.

Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3515, SL 1.3495, TP 1.3595

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