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HFMarkets (hfm.com): New market analysis services.
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[QUOTE="HFM, post: 234278, member: 32345"] [b]Date: 5th July 2024. NFP Is Here! How Will Today’s NFP Impact The NASDAQ[/b] [URL='https://analysis.hfm.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/NFP-1.jpg'][IMG]https://analysis.hfm.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/NFP-1-696x364.jpg[/IMG][/URL] [LIST] [*]Labour win UK Elections, receiving an unconditional majority of seats in the House of Commons (410 out of 650). [*]The British Pound and FTSE100 increase in value as Labour wins an outright majority. [*]The Japanese Yen sharply increases in value as the US Dollar underperforms ahead of the US employment data. [*]Investors turn their attention to today’s NFP release and Unemployment Data! [/LIST] [B]USA100[/B] The NASDAQ quickly increases in value as the Asian Market opens and the US bank holiday ends. Investors now turn their attention to this afternoon’s employment data. This morning the price quickly rose 0.48%, continuing the trend of the past week. [URL='https://analysis.hfm.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/Copy-of-TELEGRAM-MARKET-UPDATE-2024-07-05T114940.038.png'][IMG]https://analysis.hfm.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/Copy-of-TELEGRAM-MARKET-UPDATE-2024-07-05T114940.038-1024x577.png[/IMG][/URL] The “bullish” momentum that accelerated throughout the week as positions in the US Dollar weakened is gradually slowing down ahead of today’s release of the June labor market report. This report could influence the US Federal Reserve’s decision on reducing borrowing costs by the end of the year. Earlier in the week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivered a speech, and the June meeting minutes were released. The market reacted with a higher risk appetite, even though officials reiterated the need for further evidence of inflation reduction to the target 2.0% before initiating a monetary easing program. Investors also continue to position themselves for the upcoming earnings data and an interest rate cut in September 2024. An ideal NFP release for the stock market will be a slightly worser reading. For example, NFP to come in as expected but for the unemployment rate to rise to 4.1%. This afternoon’s employment data is likely to trigger significantly higher volatility. However, investors will also be concerned if the price of oil continues to rise as it has over the past 4 weeks. If the NFP data triggers higher oil prices, investors will be cautious that it does not apply upward pressure on US inflation. Analysts expect the NFP to add a further 191,000 employed individuals. Currently the price is trading at an all-time high and is witnessing buy signals. The price forms a bullish crossover and trades significantly above most moving averages. However, the price is not yet thought to be overpriced based on the RSI. All global indices trade higher, which indicates a strong sentiment towards the equity markets. Lastly, of the top 5 most influential stocks for the NASDAQ, 4 are trading higher in pre-trading hours. This includes Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet and Amazon. Currently, NVIDIA trades 0.15% lower. [b]Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.[/b] Click [url=https://www.hfm.com/hf/en/trading-tools/economic-calendar.html][b]HERE[/b][/url] to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click [url=https://www.hfm.com/en/trading-tools/trading-webinars.html][b]HERE[/b][/url] to register for FREE! [url=https://analysis.hfm.com/][b]Click HERE to READ more Market news.[/b][/url] [b] Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer:[/b] This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission. [/QUOTE]
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