Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:40 GMT)

Mar 9, 2010
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EUR/USD

Further corrects the upleg off 1.2522, 13 July higher low to 1.3026, 20 July high. Market has so far retraced over 50%, reaching 1.2731 low late yesterday. Next target stands at 1.2715, 61.8% and 1.2681, 14 July low, where possible higher low is sought. However, upside regain of 1.2920/30 is needed to return to strength, while loss of 1.2681 risks retest of 1.2522.

Res: 1.2838, 1.2869, 1.2924, 1.2966
Sup: 1.2731, 1.2715, 1.2681, 1.2613

eurusd_20100722084638.gif



GBP/USD
Maintains negative near-term structure, off 1.5470, 15 July high, as the market already retraced over 61.8% of 1.4947/1.5470 upleg, reaching 1.5123 so far. This may signal a potential return to weakness, with loss of 1.4947 required to confirm. Upside attempt are for now capped by 1.5350 and only break here to pivot market higher.

Res: 1.5240, 1.5257, 1.5335, 1.5350
Sup: 1.5125, 1.5085, 1.5067, 1.5046

gbpusd_20100722084602.gif



USD/JPY

Recovery attempt off 86.25 failed at 87.56, ahead of fresh weakness. Break below 86.85/47 support zone now focuses 86.25, break of which to expose 85.85 first, ahead of possible retest of key 84.80, 2009 low. Above, regain of 87.35/56 is needed to return to strength.

Res: 86.85, 87.35, 87.58, 87.84
Sup: 86.25, 86.15, 86.00, 85.85

usdjpy_20100722084539.gif



USD/CHF

Is breaking lower from the recent bear flag to signal the next leg lower, to test 1.0400, and below here to open 1.0366, with studies confirming the negative structure. Upside, 1.0545/60 zone is expected to cap, and only break above the latter to trigger fresh strength.

Res: 1.0545, 1.0560, 1.0583, 1.0617
Sup: 1.0399, 1.0366, 1.0344, 1.0317

usdchf_20100722084506.gif