parabolic indicator

Positive euro-zone data bullish for EU50 Consumer confidence in Germany improved for February. Will the EU50 advance continue? The consumer confidence improved in Germany unexpectedly: the GfK consumer confidence index rose to 10.8 going into February 2019 from an upwardly revised 10.5 in...

Global copper deficit persists According to the International Copper Study Group (ICSG), over 10 months of 2018, the global copper deficit has amounted to 545 thousand tons. Will copper prices rise? World copper consumption in January - October 2018, increased by 2.8% compared with the same...

A reduction in orange yield is expected in Brazil The Cepea agency expects a 30% reduction in shipment volumes of oranges from Brazil in the 2018/19 agricultural season. Will orange prices rise? It should be noted that since mid-July 2018, frozen orange juice prices have fallen by about a...

Slowing retail sales bearish for GB100 UK’s retail trade growth slowed in December. Will the GB100 continue declining? Recent UK economic data were negative: retail sales growth in the UK eased to 3% over year in December 2018. The expectations were retail sales would remain steady at 3.6%...

The “budget rule” may contribute to the further increase in PCI In this review, we suggest considering the personal composite instrument (PCI) “BRENT vs the Russian ruble”. It reflects the price dynamics of a barrel of Brent crude oil against the Russian currency. Will BRENT/RUB prices rise...

Cold snap is expected in the US U.S. National Weather Service forecasts cold snap in the United States. Will natural gas prices rise? The growth of natural gas prices may be due to an increase in demand for heating amid cold weather. Let us not that the volume of trades of natural gas on the...

Widening trade deficit bearish for NIKKEI Japanese exports slowed in November. Will the NIKKEI continue declining? Japanese economic data were weak on balance after disappointing Q3 GDP a month ago. The balance of trade turned negative in October, consumer confidence slipped in November, and...

Lower pig supply bullish for LHOG Spread of African swine fever in China negatively affects supply of pigs in the world’s largest pork consumption market. Will the LHOG continue gaining? Still new cases of African swine fever (ASF) outbreak are being reported in China after the first case in...

Demand for biofuels may increase in Brazil A major ethanol producer in Brazil forecasts an increase in the proportion of sugarcane intended for biofuel production. Will sugar prices rise? The COFCO believes that world sugar prices will depend on the cost of fuel in Brazil. According to its...

Global rice shortage is expected The British company Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) has published another review of the global rice market. Will Rice price continue to rise? According to forecasts of the EIU, the global rice consumption in the 2018/19 agricultural season will increase by...

The US and China can remove part of the mutual restrictions in foreign trade The leaders of the United States and China will negotiate at the G20 summit. Among other things, they will discuss issues of US soybean imports to China. Will SOYB prices rise? In April of the current year, China...

Weaker Swiss data bullish for AUDCHF Switzerland’s economy slowed more than expected in the third quarter. Will the AUDCHF climb continue? The Reserve Bank of Australia left the interest rate at 1.5% and revised up a little its forecasts for economic growth in 2018 and 2019 at its November 6...

Colombia higher crop bearish for coffee prices Colombia coffee production rose in October while Uganda’s exports fell. Will coffee prices continue declining? Uganda’s coffee exports fell 8.1% in October 2018, the first month of the new 2018/19 season, over the same month last year to 350,743...

OPEC and non-OPEC producers discuss the possible reduction in oil production In this review, we suggest considering the personal composite instrument (PCI) &SumOIL/GAS. It reflects the price dynamics of the portfolio of futures on oil of two brands – Brent and WTI against futures on natural...

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index increases on the eve of the G20 summit. Will the HK50 continue to rise? The G20 summit will be held in Argentina from November 30 to December 1, 2018. It is expected that during the meeting, US President Donald Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping will talk about...

Slower industrial growth bearish for SP500 US housing and industrial sectors growth slowed more than expected in October. Will the SP500 continue declining? US economic data were negative on balance lately. After a stronger than expected October jobs report and retail sales data updates from...

Lower pig supply in China bullish for LHOG Spread of African swine fever in China negatively affects supply of pigs in the world’s largest pork consumption market. Will the LHOG continue rising? The African swine fever is still a problem in China after the first reported case in August in...

The warming of US-China foreign trade relations may increase the demand for copper Copper edges higher for the 5th trading session in a row ahead of the G20 summit. Will Copper prices continue rising? Within the framework of the G20 meeting on December 1, 2018, the President of the People's...

Slowing private spending and exports bearish for NIKKEI Japanese economy shrank more than expected in third quarter. Will the NIKKEI continue declining? The Cabinet Office of the government of Japan reported on Wednesday Japan’s economy shrank in the third quarter: the annualized 1.2%...