As it was mentioned in the previous analysis of this currency pair dated 27.03.2014, according to the technical formed signs there was the possibility of the price descend which finally happened.Sellers were successful in reaching to the lowest price of 1.48314 and after that the price has started to increase. The price by reaching to the Up Trendline (made of 4 bottom prices) which is drawn in the picture below could not pass the supportive level and by forming the bottom price of 1.48314(Hammer Pattern) provides a field for price reformation. Right now price is over 5-day moving average in daily and 4H time frames and warns about more ascend.
As it is obvious in the picture below, between the Top price of 1.55842 and the bottom price of 1.48314 there is none-ideal AB=CD harmonic pattern with the Fibonacci ratios of 50 and 127.2 (also Butterfly harmonic pattern) that warns about ascending of the price.RSI indicator is in saturation sell area that confirms the current harmonic pattern with the next cycle but because of non-compliance and coordination with larger time frames(such as weekly and monthly), this signal is not much valid. Generally according to the formed signs in daily time frame, until the bottom price of 1.48314 is preserved, the price has the potential for reformation.
Technical Analysis of EUR/CAD dated of 2014.05.21
As it is obvious in the picture below, between the Top price of 1.55842 and the bottom price of 1.48314 there is none-ideal AB=CD harmonic pattern with the Fibonacci ratios of 50 and 127.2 (also Butterfly harmonic pattern) that warns about ascending of the price.RSI indicator is in saturation sell area that confirms the current harmonic pattern with the next cycle but because of non-compliance and coordination with larger time frames(such as weekly and monthly), this signal is not much valid. Generally according to the formed signs in daily time frame, until the bottom price of 1.48314 is preserved, the price has the potential for reformation.
Technical Analysis of EUR/CAD dated of 2014.05.21