ForexTechnical Analysis

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May 27, 2024
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EURAUD analysis for 30.04.2024


View attachment 28154


Time Zone: GMT +2
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


The EUR/AUD pair is greatly influenced by the economic health and monetary policies of the Eurozone and Australia. Interest rate differentials, economic growth disparity, and global risk sentiment are key drivers. Europe's energy situation and Australia's export performance, particularly in minerals and resources, provide additional context. The Euro might be pressured by internal political dynamics, while the Australian Dollar might react to commodity cycles and trade relationships, especially with China.


Price Action:

The downtrend indicated in the H4 chart has shown signs of a potential pause or reversal, with the last candle closing positively and the ongoing candle showing a sharp rise. This could indicate buying pressure entering the market, suggesting a bullish retracement or even a reversal if further bullish candles follow.


Key Technical Indicators:

Ichimoku Cloud:
Price below the cloud suggests a bearish trend; however, a short-term bullish signal might be emerging if price breaks above the cloud.

MACD: Current positioning below the signal line points to bearish momentum, but convergence towards the signal line could indicate weakening bearish momentum.

RSI: Slightly below the mid-point at 44.81, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, aligning with a potential turning point in market sentiment.

Standard Deviation (StdDev): Low StdDev points to a consolidating market, which could precede a breakout.


Support and Resistance:

Support:
The chart suggests 1.6375 as a recent support level where the price has shown some rebound.

Resistance: Resistance is anticipated around 1.6450, indicated by recent price peaks and the Ichimoku cloud's lower boundary.


Conclusion and Consideration:

The EUR/AUD pair, in the current H4 timeframe, suggests a bearish trend with potential early signs of a bullish correction. The recent positive closure of a candle and an ongoing sharp rise could provide opportunities for a bullish entry with caution. Traders should closely monitor upcoming fundamental data releases affecting both the Euro and the Australian Dollar. It is essential to apply prudent risk management, considering the volatility inherent in the forex market.


Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should perform their own due diligence before making any investment decisions. own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.


FxGlory
30.04.2024



View attachment 28155Really helpful, Thank you !
 

FXGLORY

Master Trader
Apr 19, 2012
531
2
59
USDCAD Price Analysis for 29.5.2024



USDCADH429.jpg


Time Zone: GMT +2
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


Economic indicators from Canada and the United States continue to play a significant role in influencing the USD/CAD exchange rate. Key data such as employment reports, inflation rates, and central bank statements should be closely monitored. For instance, changes in oil prices significantly impact the Canadian dollar due to Canada's substantial oil exports. Meanwhile, economic recovery signals from the U.S., including GDP growth or Federal Reserve policy shifts, could sway USD strength. Traders should stay attuned to these economic releases to gauge potential impacts on currency movements.


Price Action:

The USD/CAD chart shows a bearish sentiment as the price remains below the Ichimoku Cloud. This alignment typically indicates a continuation of the downward trend, with the cloud acting as resistance in the near term. The candles being consistently below the cloud without any significant bullish breakouts suggest that the bearish momentum is strong. Traders should watch for any candle formations or price actions that might indicate a potential reversal or stabilization.


Key Technical Indicators:

MACD:
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is below the histogram, which typically suggests a bearish momentum. However, a closer inspection reveals that the MACD line is showing signs of leveling off, which might hint at a potential slowdown in the bearish momentum or a stabilization of prices..

RSI: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 50, hovering around 50.69, which indicates a mild bullish undercurrent or at least a reduction in bearish momentum. This suggests that while the market has been bearish, there may be potential for some stabilization or a mild upward correction.

Ichimoku Kinko Hyo: The USD/CAD chart shows that the candles are currently below the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting a bearish trend. The green cloud indicates potential support levels below the current price, but as long as prices remain below the cloud, the overall market sentiment remains bearish.


Support and Resistance Levels:

Support:
The immediate support can be identified by the lower boundary of the Ichimoku Cloud and the recent lows around the 1.36300 level.

Resistance Resistance is likely formed by the base of the Ichimoku Cloud above the current price level, around 1.36900. Prices would need to break above the cloud to indicate a shift to a bullish outlook.


Conclusion:

While the market shows a bearish trend with prices below the Ichimoku Cloud and MACD below the histogram, the RSI above 50 suggests some resistance to further downward movement. Traders should watch for potential signs of a bullish reversal if the price attempts to break above the Ichimoku Cloud. However, until such a breakout occurs, the bearish sentiment is likely to prevail.


Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.


FxGlory
29.05.2024


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FXGLORY

Master Trader
Apr 19, 2012
531
2
59
AUDUSD Daily Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 30.05.2024


AUDUSD-H4-Daily-Technical-and-Fundamental-Analysis-on-30-05-2024.jpg


Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


The AUDUSD currency pair chart represents the exchange rate between the Australian Dollar (AUD) and the US Dollar (USD). This pair is highly influenced by economic indicators from both Australia and the United States, making it a critical focus for forex traders. Monitoring the AUD/USD chart price is essential for understanding market trends and potential trading opportunities in the forex market. Today, the Australian Dollar (AUD) is influenced by low-impact economic events. RBA Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter's speech is unlikely to introduce significant market volatility but could offer subtle insights into future monetary policy. Additionally, data on Building Approvals (forecasted at 1.8%) and Private Capital Expenditure (forecasted at 0.6%) are due, which are essential indicators of economic health, though they are expected to have low impact. In contrast, the US Dollar (USD) faces high-impact events including Preliminary GDP data (forecasted at 1.2%), Unemployment Claims (forecasted at 218K), and Pending Home Sales (forecasted at -1.1%). These events are pivotal and could induce substantial market movements, reflecting the USD's overall economic health.


Price Action:

AUDUSD On the H4 timeframe, has been displaying a mix of bearish and bullish sentiments. Over the last five candles, three were bearish, showing a downward trend, while the last two candles are bullish, suggesting a potential reversal. This AUD/USD price action is notable as it indicates a shift in market sentiment with the possibility of further upward movement of the AUD USD chart price if the bullish momentum continues.


Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands:
The bands are widening smoothly, indicating increased volatility. The last five candles have been moving in the lower part of the bands, showing a bearish trend. However, the last two bullish candles suggest a possible upward correction or reversal in the AUD-USD price.

Parabolic SAR: The Parabolic SAR dots have been above the candles for the last 10 spots, which is a bearish signal. This indicates that the market is still in a downtrend, but traders should watch for any shift below the price, which would indicate a potential trend reversal.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is below the signal line, and both are below the zero line, reflecting bearish momentum. However, the histogram shows a slight decrease in bearish pressure, hinting at a potential bullish crossover if the current trend continues.

RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is at 38.55, indicating that the AUDUSD is approaching oversold territory. This level suggests a potential for an upward correction if the buying pressure increases.



Support and Resistance:

Support Levels:
The immediate support is at 0.6580, a psychological level and a recent low. Below this, further support can be found at 0.6560.

Resistance Levels: The nearest resistance is at 0.6640, a level tested by recent price action. Above this, significant resistance lies at 0.6685, aligned with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level.


Conclusion and Consideration:

The AUDUSD on the H4 chart shows mixed signals. The widening Bollinger Bands suggest increased volatility, and the Parabolic SAR indicates a prevailing bearish trend. However, the recent bullish candles, combined with an RSI approaching oversold levels, and a potentially converging MACD, hint at a possible upward correction. Traders should closely monitor upcoming US economic data releases, as they are likely to drive significant market movements. It's prudent to consider both bullish and bearish scenarios, implementing appropriate risk management strategies.


Disclaimer: The provided AUDUSD chart analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it is essential to stay updated with the latest information.


FxGlory
30.05.2024


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EURJPY Daily Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 31.05.2024


EURJP-H4-Daily-Technical-and-Fundamentan-Analysis-for-31.05.jpg


Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


The EUR/JPY currency pair chart is expected to be influenced by several economic data releases today. Key among these is the French Final Private Payrolls report, which is forecasted to show a 0.2% increase. A higher than expected result would be positive for the Euro. Additionally, other data such as German Import Prices, German Retail Sales, French Consumer Spending, and various CPI figures will be released, though these are expected to have low impact. On the Japanese side, the Tokyo Core CPI y/y is forecasted at 1.9%, indicating mild inflation pressures, which could influence the JPY.


Price Action:

The EUR JPY forex pair has been experiencing a gradual bullish trend in the H4 timeframe. The price has recently retraced but remains above the critical support levels, suggesting the potential for continued upward movement. The recent candles show a consolidation phase, with the price moving towards the middle band of the Bollinger Bands.


Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands:


The Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating increased volatility. The EUR-JPY price has been mostly moving between the middle and upper bands, showing bullish momentum. The last few candles of EURJPY suggest a retracement towards the middle band, but the overall direction remains upwards.

Parabolic SAR:

The Parabolic SAR dots are currently positioned below the candles, which is a bullish signal. This indicator supports the ongoing upward trend, as the last three dots confirm the bullish stance.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):

The MACD line is slightly above the signal line, and the histogram shows decreasing bearish momentum in EUR/JPY price. This suggests that the bullish trend might be losing some strength, but it is not yet reversing. Traders should watch for a potential bullish crossover which could reaffirm the uptrend.

RSI (Relative Strength Index):

The RSI is at 46.86, indicating a neutral stance. This suggests that there is room for further upward movement before reaching overbought conditions. The RSI supports the current consolidation phase within the broader bullish trend.


Support and Resistance:

Support Levels:


Immediate support is at 169.000, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and recent price action od EURJPY. Further support is found at 167.860, coinciding with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.

Resistance Levels:

Immediate resistance is at 170.825, where the recent highs align with the upper Bollinger Band.

Further resistance is at 171.415, the recent peak and 100% Fibonacci extension.


Conclusion and Consideration:

The EURJPY pair on the H4 chart shows a predominantly bullish trend with temporary consolidation. Key technical indicators such as the Bollinger Bands, Parabolic SAR, MACD, and RSI support the likelihood of continued upward movement, though with some caution due to the consolidation phase. Traders should monitor upcoming economic data releases from the Eurozone and Japan, as they could introduce volatility and influence the pair’s direction.


Disclaimer: The provided EURJPY analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis of EURJPY forex pair before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it is essential to stay updated with the latest information.


FxGlory
31.05.2024


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FXGLORY

Master Trader
Apr 19, 2012
531
2
59
EUR/USD Technical Analysis for 3.06.2024


EURUSDH4.6.3.2024-JPG.jpg


Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


The EUR/USD currency pair is influenced by various economic data releases today. Key among these is the Eurozone Retail Sales report, which is expected to show a 0.3% increase. A higher-than-expected result would be positive for the Euro. Additionally, other data such as German Factory Orders, Eurozone GDP, and various CPI figures will be released, though these are expected to have a moderate impact. On the US side, the Non-Farm Payrolls report and the Unemployment Rate are crucial indicators, with the NFP forecasted at 200K, indicating steady job growth, which could influence the USD.


Price Action:

The EUR/USD forex pair has been experiencing a bearish trend in the H4 timeframe. The price has recently retraced but remains above the critical support levels, suggesting the potential for continued downward movement. The recent candles show a consolidation phase, with the price moving towards the lower band of the Bollinger Bands.


Key Technical Indicators:

Ichimoku:


The Ichimoku Cloud analysis shows a bearish signal as the last cloud is red, indicating a negative outlook. Both the conversion line (Tenkan-sen) and the base line (Kijun-sen) are below the candles, which supports the bearish sentiment.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):

The MACD line is below the histogram, indicating bearish momentum and suggesting a downward trend. The histogram also shows increasing bearish momentum, reinforcing the possibility of further declines.

Elliott Wave Analysis:

The Elliott Wave analysis for EUR/USD indicates that the pair is in a corrective phase. The recent waves suggest that the pair might continue its downward trajectory before completing the current wave structure.



Support and Resistance:

Support Levels:


Immediate support is at 1.0800, which aligns with the recent price action and the lower boundary of the Ichimoku Cloud. Further support is found at 1.0750, coinciding with previous swing lows.

Resistance Levels:

Immediate resistance is at 1.0900, where the recent highs align with the upper Bollinger Band. Further resistance is at 1.0950, the recent peak and psychological level.


Conclusion and Consideration:

The EUR/USD pair on the H4 chart shows a predominantly bearish trend with temporary consolidation. Key technical indicators such as the Ichimoku Cloud, MACD, and Elliott Wave analysis support the likelihood of continued downward movement. Traders should monitor upcoming economic data releases from the Eurozone and the US, as they could introduce volatility and influence the pair’s direction.


Disclaimer: The provided EUR/USD analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis of the EUR/USD forex pair before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it is essential to stay updated with the latest information.


FxGlory
3.06.2024


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FXGLORY

Master Trader
Apr 19, 2012
531
2
59
Gold Price Analysis for 04.06.2024


Gold_H4_Daily_Technical_and_Fundamentan_Analysis_for_04_06_2024.jpg


Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


Gold, also known as XAU/USD, continues to be influenced by a mix of economic data and geopolitical factors. Recent data from the United States, including robust employment figures and persisting inflation concerns, has kept the Federal Reserve on a path of potential interest rate hikes, strengthening the US Dollar and exerting downward pressure on gold. Furthermore, geopolitical uncertainties, particularly in Europe and Asia, add to the volatility, with investors often seeking gold as a safe-haven asset during times of heightened uncertainty. This context provides crucial insights into the XAU/USD technical analysis today live, offering a broader understanding of the current market dynamics.


Price Action:

The H4 timeframe for XAU/USD shows a predominantly bearish trend. The price action has been characterized by lower highs and lower lows, indicating sustained downward momentum. Despite occasional attempts to break above resistance levels, the price remains constrained below the Ichimoku cloud and a descending trendline, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Observing the gold news today, it is evident that these factors are shaping the current price movement.


Key Technical Indicators:

Ichimoku Cloud:


The price is trading below the Ichimoku cloud, signaling a bearish outlook as the cloud acts as a major resistance zone. This aligns with the gold forecast news live, suggesting a continuation of the bearish trend.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):

The MACD histogram is negative, with the MACD line below the signal line, indicating ongoing bearish momentum and potential for further price declines.

RSI (Relative Strength Index):

The RSI is at 55.30, suggesting a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment. The indicator shows room for the price to decline further before reaching oversold conditions.


Support and Resistance:

Support Levels:


Immediate support is found at 2333.73 and 2320.29. A break below these levels could lead to a decline towards 2302.93.

Resistance Levels:

Key resistance levels are located at 2350.54 and 2366.77. A sustained move above these levels could challenge the prevailing bearish trend.


Conclusion and Consideration:

The XAU/USD pair on the H4 chart exhibits a strong bearish trend, with key technical indicators confirming downward momentum. The price remains below significant resistance levels, including the Ichimoku cloud and descending trendline. Traders should monitor economic data releases and geopolitical developments closely, as these can impact gold prices significantly. In the current environment, considering short positions while setting appropriate stop-loss levels to manage risk could be prudent. Watch for any signs of trend reversals, especially if the price begins to break above key resistance levels. Keeping up with the gold forecast news live and XAU/USD technical analysis today will be essential for making informed trading decisions.


Disclaimer: The provided analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.


FxGlory
04.06.2024


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FXGLORY

Master Trader
Apr 19, 2012
531
2
59
USDCAD Price Analysis for 05.06.2024



USDCADH4.6.5.2024.jpg


Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


The USDCAD pair continues to be influenced by a combination of economic data and geopolitical factors. Recent US economic reports, such as strong employment figures and ongoing inflation concerns, are pushing the Federal Reserve towards potential interest rate hikes, thereby strengthening the US Dollar. This, in turn, affects the USDCAD currency trend. Additionally, Canadian economic data and oil prices play significant roles in shaping the pair's movements. Staying updated with the USDCAD news analysis is crucial for understanding the broader market dynamics.


Price Action:

On the H4 timeframe, USDCAD is showing a mixed market sentiment. While the price is above the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting an uptrend, the red cloud indicates potential future bearishness. The candles are above the cloud, with the base line (Kijun-sen) in the cloud and the conversion line (Tenkan-sen) below the candles. The market appears to be ranging, awaiting a clear direction.


Key Technical Indicators:

Ichimoku Cloud:


The last cloud on the USDCAD chart is red, signaling possible future bearish sentiment. The candles are above the cloud, indicating a current uptrend. The base line is in the cloud, and the conversion line is below the candles, suggesting consolidation.

Order block:

Identified order blocks indicate key support and resistance areas. Monitoring the market’s reaction to these areas is crucial for potential trading opportunities.


Support and Resistance:

Support Levels:


Watch for reactions around key support zones, which may provide buy opportunities if the price bounces.

Resistance Levels:

Resistance Levels: Key resistance areas could serve as sell points if the price fails to break through.


Conclusion and Consideration:

The USDCAD pair exhibits a mixed sentiment on the H4 chart. While the current uptrend is indicated by the price being above the Ichimoku cloud, the red cloud suggests caution due to potential bearish future movements. The MACD also points to a downtrend, adding to the mixed signals. Traders should closely watch the market's reaction to the identified order blocks and key support and resistance levels.


Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.



FxGlory
05.06.2024


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FXGLORY

Master Trader
Apr 19, 2012
531
2
59
GBPUSD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 06.06.2024



GBPUSD_H4_Daily_Technical_and_Fundamentan_Analysis_for_06_06_2024.jpg


Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


The GBPUSD forecast today reflects the relationship between the British Pound (GBP) and the US Dollar (USD). Fundamental factors influencing the GBPUSD pair include interest rate differentials, economic growth, and geopolitical stability. For the GBP, upcoming Construction PMI data is expected to impact market sentiment, with a forecast of 52.5 indicating expansion. For the USD, high-impact Unemployment Claims data, with a forecast of 220K, will be closely watched as it provides insights into the labor market, influencing the USD's strength.


Price Action:

On the H4 timeframe, the GBPUSD pair shows a steady uptrend, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. The GBPUSD price forecast today indicates a potential bullish continuation if the pair breaks above the immediate resistance levels. The market has recently tested significant resistance near 1.2836, suggesting a possible consolidation before further upward movement.


Key Technical Indicators:

Ichimoku Cloud:
The price is above the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating a bullish trend. The leading span lines (Senkou Span A and B) are widening, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.

The Tenkan-sen (red line) and Kijun-sen (blue line) are bullishly aligned, with the Tenkan-sen above the Kijun-sen.

Volume: The recent increase in volume suggests strong buying interest, supporting the bullish momentum. Volume spikes coincide with upward price movements, confirming the validity of the uptrend.


RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is at 58.32, which is moderately bullish. This indicates that there is room for further upward movement before reaching overbought conditions (above 70).


Support and Resistance:

Support Levels:
The nearest support level is at 1.2763, followed by stronger support at 1.2703.

Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance is at 1.2788, with a more significant resistance at 1.2836.


Conclusion and Consideration:

The GBPUSD trend predictions suggest a continuation of the bullish trend, supported by positive technical indicators and robust price action. Traders should monitor key resistance levels at 1.2788 and 1.2836 for potential breakout opportunities. As per the GBPUSD news analysis today, given the upcoming GBP Construction PMI and USD Unemployment Claims data, market volatility is expected. Proper risk management, including setting stop-loss levels, is crucial in navigating the current market conditions.


Disclaimer: The provided analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.


FxGlory
06.06.2024


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FXGLORY

Master Trader
Apr 19, 2012
531
2
59
EURUSD H4 Daily Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 07.06.2024



EURUSD-H4-Daily-chart-analysis-for-06.07.jpg


Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


The EURUSD currency pair, often referred to as "Fiber," reflects the exchange rate between the Euro and the US Dollar. Today, the Euro may see some impact from a series of low-impact economic data releases. Germany's Industrial Production report, forecasted at 0.1%, and Trade Balance, forecasted at 22.6B, along with France's Trade Balance, forecasted at -5.4B, will provide insights into the economic health of the Eurozone's largest economies. Additionally, comments from the Deutsche Bundesbank President and other minor economic indicators could influence the Euro. On the USD side, high-impact data including Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change, and the Unemployment Rate are expected. These reports are critical as they provide a snapshot of the US labor market, influencing the USD significantly. A better-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls (forecasted at 182K) and Unemployment Rate (forecasted at 3.9%) could strengthen the USD.


Price Action:

Examining the EUR/USD H4 chart price, the Fiber pair has shown a bullish trend over the past few sessions. The price has been moving within an ascending channel, staying above the key support trendline. The recent EUR USD price action indicates a series of higher highs and higher lows, with the price touching the middle Bollinger Band and moving in the upper half of the bands, signifying bullish momentum. The last five candles have been mainly bullish, suggesting positive market sentiment.


Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands:
The EURUSD chart’s Bollinger Bands have been getting tighter, indicating decreased volatility. The price has been trading in the upper half of the bands and touching the middle band, showing a positive trend with potential for upward movement. The recent bullish candles support this momentum.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is slightly above the signal line, with a positive histogram, indicating bullish momentum. However, the momentum appears to be stabilizing, suggesting traders should watch for any potential crossover that could signal a change in trend.

Williams %R: The Williams %R indicator is currently showing a value close to -20, indicating that the pair is near overbought conditions. This suggests caution as there might be a potential pullback or consolidation before the next significant move.


Support and Resistance:

Support:
Immediate support is located at 1.0850, aligning with the ascending trendline and a recent price consolidation area.

Resistance: The nearest resistance level is at 1.0925, which coincides with recent highs and the upper boundary of the Bollinger Bands.


Conclusion and Considerations:

The EURUSD H4 chart analysis shows sustained bullish momentum, supported by key technical indicators such as Bollinger Bands, MACD, and Williams %R. The EUR-USD’s current price action within the ascending channel indicates that the bulls are in control. However, the narrowing Bollinger Bands and the overbought signal from Williams %R suggest caution. Traders should monitor today's economic data releases, especially from the US, as they could significantly impact the pair's direction. Given the upcoming high-impact US data, increased volatility is expected.


Disclaimer: The EUR/USD provided chart analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it is essential to stay updated with the latest information.


FXGlory
07.06.2024


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FXGLORY

Master Trader
Apr 19, 2012
531
2
59
USDJPY Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 10.06.2024


USDJPY-H4- technical analysis on 10.06.2024.jpg


Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


Today's economic releases for Japan include low-impact indicators such as Bank Lending y/y, Current Account, Final GDP Price Index y/y, Final GDP q/q, and Economy Watchers Sentiment. The USDJPY news analysis today suggests a generally stable economic environment with no significant surprises expected. The USD has no major releases today, indicating a relatively quiet day on the fundamental front, potentially leaving the currency pair more susceptible to technical movements and broader market sentiment.


Price Action:

On the H4 chart, the USDJPY forecast live today shows a recent recovery from a dip, moving upwards and breaking past several key levels. The pair is currently trading above the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting a bullish bias. The recent candles have higher highs and higher lows, indicating a potential continuation of this upward momentum.



Key Technical Indicators:

Ichimoku Cloud:
The price has broken above the cloud, with the Tenkan-sen (blue line) crossing above the Kijun-sen (red line), indicating a bullish trend. The leading span lines are showing a widening, which supports the bullish momentum.

Volume: There has been an increase in buying volume, which supports the recent upward price movement. This rise in volume suggests that the market participants are confident in the upward trend.

RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is currently at 59.22, indicating moderate bullishness. It is not yet in the overbought territory, suggesting there is still room for further upside.


Support and Resistance:

Support Levels:
The immediate support level is at 155.782, which aligns with the lower boundary of the upward trend channel.

Resistance Levels: The key resistance level is at 157.033. A break above this level could indicate a continuation of the bullish trend.


Conclusion and Consideration:


The USDJPY fundamental analysis today on the H4 chart displays signs of a bullish reversal, supported by positive signals from the Ichimoku cloud and increasing volume. The RSI suggests room for further gains, while the trendlines provide clear levels to watch for support and resistance. Traders should monitor for a breakout above the 157.033 resistance level to confirm continued bullish momentum. Considering the moderate impact of today's economic releases from Japan, the market's technical aspects are likely to dominate the price action.


Disclaimer:
The provided analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.


FxGlory
10.06.2024


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FXGLORY

Master Trader
Apr 19, 2012
531
2
59
EURGBP Price Analysis for 11.06.2024


EURGBPH4.jpg


Time Zone: GMT +2
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


The recent news includes key economic indicators from both the Eurozone and the UK that could significantly affect the EUR/GBP exchange rate. On June 29th, the Eurozone will release the German Prelim CPI m/m, a crucial indicator of inflation trends in Europe's largest economy. For the UK, significant data releases include the Prelim GDP q/q and Unemployment Claims expected to come in at 218K compared to the previous 215K. These economic indicators are essential to watch, as they provide insights into the economic health of both regions, influencing currency strength.


Price Action:

The EUR/GBP H4 chart currently shows that the price line is forming a bearish wedge pattern, suggesting a continuation of the bearish trend. The price action indicates sustained downward pressure, and the bearish momentum is likely to persist. Traders should watch for confirmation of the bearish wedge pattern with a break below the lower trendline, indicating the continuation of the bearish run.


Key Technical Indicators:

MACD:
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a lack of bullish momentum, with the histogram showing bearish momentum and the MACD line trending downwards. This indicates a strong bearish trend in the EUR/GBP currency pair.

RSI: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around 31, which is in the bearish territory, indicating that the bearish momentum is strong and the price could continue to move lower.


Support and Resistance Levels:


Support:
The lower points of the recent candles around 0.84500 serve as the immediate support level.

Resistance: The upper line of the bearish wedge around 0.84670 acts as a resistance level.


Conclusion:

Traders should closely monitor both the upcoming economic news and the EUR/GBP reaction at the 0.84500 support level. A failure to break below could lead to a temporary pause in the bearish run, while a strong break below this level could confirm the bearish price prediction, leading to potential short opportunities. Given these dynamics, it's essential to stay updated with the latest economic reports and adjust strategies accordingly to navigate the volatile forex market effectively.


Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.


FxGlory
11.06.2024


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FXGLORY

Master Trader
Apr 19, 2012
531
2
59
GBPUSD Price Analysis for 12.06.2024



GBPUSD-H4-candelstick-chart.jpg



Time Zone: GMT +2
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


The recent news includes key economic indicators from the US that could significantly affect the possible future direction on GBP/USD exchange rate. On June 12th, critical data releases include the Core CPI m/m with a forecast of 0.3% against the previous 0.3%, and the CPI m/m expected at 0.1% compared to the previous 0.3%. The year-over-year CPI is anticipated to be 3.4%, matching the previous figure. Additionally, at 7:00 pm, the Federal Funds Rate is expected to remain at 5.50%, accompanied by the FOMC Economic Projections, FOMC Statement, and the Federal Budget Balance, forecasted at -279.6B against the previous 209.5B. These economic indicators are essential to watch as they provide insights into the economic health of the US, influencing the strength of the USD and, consequently, the GBP/USD currency pair.



Price Action:

The GBP/USD H4 chart currently shows that the price is testing a significant resistance level. GBPUSD candlestick formations around this resistance zone indicate a potential weakness in the bearish momentum on this pair’s price movement, suggesting a possible reversal or consolidation. Traders should watch for confirmation of this resistance holding or breaking to determine the next directional move.



Key Technical Indicators:

Williams R%:
The Williams % Range on GBPUSD is currently showing bearish conditions, hovering in the oversold territory. This suggests that the pair might be due for a pullback or consolidation before any further bearish movement.

MACD: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) on this forex pair shows bearish signals with the histogram below the zero line and the MACD line below the signal line, indicating ongoing bearish momentum.



Support and Resistance Levels:

Support:
The lower points of the recent candles around 1.27650 serve as the immediate support level.

Resistance: The upper line of the former bearish channel around 1.26870 acts as a resistance level.



Conclusion:

Traders should closely monitor both the upcoming economic news and the GBP/USD reaction at the 1.27640 resistance level. A failure to break through could confirm the bearish price prediction, leading to potential short opportunities. Conversely, a strong push above this level could invalidate the bearish scenario for this pair. Given these dynamics, it's essential to stay updated with the latest economic reports and adjust strategies accordingly to navigate the volatile forex market effectively.



Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.


FxGlory
12.06.2024



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FXGLORY

Master Trader
Apr 19, 2012
531
2
59
USDCAD Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 17.06.2024



USDCAD_Daily_Technical_and_Fundamental_Analysis_H4_for_06_17_2024.jpg

Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


USDCAD is influenced by several economic factors from both the US and Canada. For the USDCAD news forecast today, the focus is on the Empire State Manufacturing Index from the US, which is forecasted to be -12.5. This high-impact data could significantly affect the US Dollar if the actual figure deviates from expectations, indicating either a strengthening or weakening of the manufacturing sector in New York. On the Canadian side, Housing Starts are forecasted at 247K and Foreign Securities Purchases at 12.30B. Both these low-impact data points provide insights into Canada's economic health, with better-than-expected figures potentially strengthening the CAD. Monitoring the USDCAD news analysis today live is crucial for understanding the impact of these data releases.


Price Action:

The H4 chart for USDCAD indicates a recent period of volatility with significant price swings. The technical analysis today, shows the pair has been moving within an ascending channel, suggesting an overall bullish trend. However, recent candles show mixed sentiment with both bullish and bearish pressures evident. The price is currently above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating potential support, while resistance levels are being tested frequently.


Key Technical Indicators:

Ichimoku Cloud:
The price is trading above the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting a bullish sentiment. The cloud's future projection is flat, indicating potential consolidation or a slowdown in the upward momentum.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD histogram is slightly positive, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, indicating a bullish momentum. However, the difference between the two lines is minimal, suggesting cautious optimism.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is at 49.18, close to the neutral 50 level, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This suggests that the market could move in either direction depending on upcoming data releases or market sentiment.


Support and Resistance:

Support Levels:
Immediate support is at 1.36991, aligned with the lower boundary of the ascending channel and Ichimoku cloud.
Resistance Levels: The resistance is observed at 1.37408, which coincides with recent highs and the upper boundary of the channel.


Conclusion and Consideration:

The USDCAD pair on the H4 chart presents a cautious bullish outlook with key support and resistance levels closely watched. The indicators suggest a potential continuation of the upward trend, provided the price remains above the Ichimoku cloud and the MACD stays positive. Traders should monitor today's economic releases, particularly the Empire State Manufacturing Index, for cues on market direction. Appropriate risk management, including setting stop-loss levels near support at 1.36991, is advised given the potential volatility from the upcoming data.


Disclaimer: The provided analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.


FXGlory
17.06.2024


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FXGLORY

Master Trader
Apr 19, 2012
531
2
59
EURUSD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 18.06.2024


EURUSD_Daily_Techincal_and_Fundamental_Analysis_H4_chart_for_06.jpg


Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:

The EUR/USD news analysis today is influenced by various macroeconomic factors and central bank policies. Currently, the European Central Bank (ECB) is considering interest rate adjustments, with potential cuts on the horizon due to concerns about economic growth. On the other hand, the Federal Reserve (FOMC) is tackling inflation, with recent retail sales data indicating a potential increase. These diverging paths are crucial in understanding the EUR/USD dynamics. The ECB's dovish stance may weaken the euro, while positive U.S. economic data could strengthen the dollar.


Price Action:
The EUR/USD H4 chart indicates that the price is recovering from a recent downtrend. The price action shows higher highs and higher lows, suggesting a bullish reversal. The EURUSD technical analysis today shows the pair is currently trading within an ascending channel, with immediate resistance around 1.0745 and support at 1.0700. The recent bullish candles indicate strong buying pressure, but traders should be cautious of potential resistance levels.


Key Technical Indicators:
Ichimoku Cloud:
The price is below the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating a bearish sentiment. However, the recent upward movement suggests a potential challenge to the cloud's lower boundary.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is below the signal line, and the histogram shows negative values, indicating bearish momentum. However, the convergence of the lines suggests a possible bullish crossover.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is around 48.18, which is neutral. It indicates that the market is not yet overbought or oversold, providing room for further price movement.


Support and Resistance:
Support Levels:
Immediate support is at 1.0700, which aligns with the lower boundary of the ascending channel. Additional support is found at 1.0680.

Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance is at 1.0745, followed by the upper boundary of the ascending channel. Further resistance can be seen at 1.0785, near the Ichimoku Cloud.


Conclusion and Consideration:
The EUR/USD forecast live is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal on the H4 timeframe, supported by higher lows and higher highs within an ascending channel. Traders should monitor the key resistance levels at 1.0745 and 1.0785 for a potential breakout. The RSI and MACD indicators suggest that the market is in a neutral to slightly bearish phase, but the convergence in MACD hints at possible bullish momentum. Fundamental factors, such as ECB and FOMC policies, will continue to play a significant role in the pair's movement. Traders should implement risk management strategies, considering the volatile nature of the forex market.


Disclaimer: The provided analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.


FXGlory
18.06.2024


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FXGLORY

Master Trader
Apr 19, 2012
531
2
59
NZDCAD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 19.06.2024


NZDCADH4.technical-and-fundamental-analysis-6.19.2024.jpg


Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


The NZD/CAD news analysis today highlights the impact of various economic factors and central bank policies. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has recently adopted a more dovish stance due to concerns over economic growth, while the Bank of Canada (BoC) is focusing on inflation control, supported by recent positive economic data. These divergent approaches are key to understanding the NZD/CAD dynamics. The RBNZ’s dovish tone could weaken the NZD, whereas the BoC’s hawkish policies might strengthen the CAD.


Price Action:

The NZD/CAD H4 chart reveals a market that was initially bearish but has shown signs of a bullish reversal after a Change of Character (CHOCH). The price action demonstrates a shift from lower lows to higher highs, confirming the trend reversal. The current price suggests a bullish trend with a target set above the previous order block. For further confirmation, we use the RSA Parabolic indicator, where the dots below the candles indicate a buy signal.


Key Technical Indicators:

RSA Parabolic:


The dots below the candlesticks provide a clear buy signal, suggesting bullish momentum. This indicator is essential for confirming the trend reversal and potential upward movement.


Support and Resistance:

Support Levels:


Immediate support is at 0.8410, aligning with the recent lows. Additional support can be found at 0.8380.

Resistance Levels:

Immediate resistance is at 0.8450, followed by significant resistance at 0.8480 and 0.8500.


Conclusion and Consideration:

The NZD/CAD chart forecast is bullish, as indicated by the recent CHOCH and supporting technical indicators. Traders should consider going long, targeting the order block levels mentioned above. The NZDCAD forecast is strengthened by the bullish signals from the RSA Parabolic. Fundamental factors, such as the policies of RBNZ and BoC, will continue to influence the pair’s movements. Traders should use risk management strategies and be mindful of the volatile nature of the forex market. Staying updated with the latest NZD CAD analysis on TradingView and monitoring NZD CAD news analysis can provide further insights.


Disclaimer: The provided analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.


FXGlory
19.06.2024


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FXGLORY

Master Trader
Apr 19, 2012
531
2
59
GBPUSD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 20.06.2024



GBPUSD_H4_Chart_Daily_Technical_and_Fundamental_Analysis_for_20.jpg

Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


The GBP/USD news analysis today is influenced by a variety of fundamental factors including economic indicators from both the UK and the US. Upcoming key events include the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting minutes and US unemployment claims. The BOE's stance on interest rates and the MPC's vote distribution will provide insight into future monetary policy, which is crucial for currency valuation. In the US, unemployment claims are expected to be around 235K, with lower actual figures generally being positive for the USD. Additionally, housing data and manufacturing indices from the US will provide further economic context that can impact the pair.

Price Action:

The GBP/USD H4 chart shows a recent bullish trend within a rising channel, with prices attempting to break above the resistance level at 1.27391. The GBP/USD technical analysis today shows the pair has been making higher lows, indicating buying interest. However, the bullish momentum appears to be facing challenges at the current resistance, leading to potential consolidation or a pullback if the resistance holds firm.


Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands:


The price is approaching the upper Bollinger Band, indicating that the currency pair might be entering an overbought territory. This can act as a dynamic resistance level.

Stochastic Oscillator:

The Stochastic Oscillator is at 46.48, approaching the overbought threshold. This can signal that a price correction might be imminent if the overbought level is reached.

RSI (Relative Strength Index):

The RSI is at 49.94, suggesting a neutral to slightly bullish momentum. This indicates that there is still room for the price to move higher before hitting overbought conditions.


Support and Resistance:

Support Levels:


Immediate support is at 1.27045, with a stronger support level at 1.26780.

Resistance Levels:

Immediate resistance is at 1.27391. A break above this level could target higher resistances within the rising channel.


Conclusion and Consideration:

The GBP/USD forecast today depicts the pair to be exhibiting bullish tendencies within a rising channel, supported by neutral to bullish RSI and Stochastic indicators. Traders should watch for a breakout above the resistance at 1.27391 to confirm continued bullish momentum. Given the upcoming fundamental events, particularly from the Bank of England and US economic data, traders should stay vigilant as these can cause significant volatility. Setting appropriate stop-loss levels and monitoring key support and resistance zones is crucial in managing risk.


Disclaimer: The provided analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.


FXGlory
20.06.2024



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FXGLORY

Master Trader
Apr 19, 2012
531
2
59
EURCAD Daily Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 21.06.2024


EURCAD-H4-Technical and Fundamental Daily Analysis For 21.06.2024.jpg


Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:

The EUR/CAD currency pair reflects the exchange rate between the Euro (EUR) and the Canadian Dollar (CAD). Today, the market expects several news releases for both currencies. For the EUR, significant events include the German Flash Manufacturing PMI (forecasted at 46.4) and the French Flash Services PMI (forecasted at 50.0), both indicating varying degrees of economic activity. Additionally, speeches from key officials like German Buba President Nagel and ECOFIN meetings could provide further market direction. For the CAD, the focus will be on the Core Retail Sales m/m (forecasted at 0.5%) and Retail Sales m/m (forecasted at 0.7%), which are essential indicators of consumer spending and economic health.


Price Action:
Analyzing the EURCAD H4 chart, the pair has shown a sharp bearish trend. The last five bearish candles have driven the price down from the 50.0 Fibonacci retracement line towards the 23.6 Fibonacci retracement line, with the latest candle being green and bullish, indicating a potential pullback. This recent bullish candle at the 23.6 Fibonacci level suggests that this support level might hold, at least in the short term.


Key Technical Indicators:
Ichimoku Cloud:
The Ichimoku Cloud indicator shows that the EUR-CAD forex pair is currently in a bearish trend. The price is below the Kumo (cloud), indicating a bearish bias. The Tenkan-sen (red line) and Kijun-sen (blue line) lines are both above the price, reinforcing the bearish outlook. The Senkou Span A and B (cloud boundaries) are also indicating resistance ahead.
Williams %R: The Williams %R (14) is currently at -94.54, which is in the oversold territory. This suggests that the pair might be due for a short-term rebound or consolidation as the selling pressure may have been exhausted.
Bears Power (13): The Bears Power indicator shows negative values, indicating that the sellers are still in control. However, the indicator has shown a slight uptick recently, which could suggest that the bearish momentum is weakening slightly.


Support and Resistance:
Support:
The immediate support level is at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement line (1.4645), which coincides with the recent green candle and could act as a strong support level.
Resistance: The nearest resistance level is at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement line (1.4710), which aligns with a previous consolidation area and could pose a challenge for the bulls if the price attempts to recover.


Conclusion and Consideration:
The EURCAD pair on the H4 chart shows a strong bearish momentum supported by the Ichimoku Cloud, %R14, and Bears Power indicators. The recent bearish candles indicate that the selling pressure is still present, but the oversold condition of %R14 and the latest bullish candle suggest a possible short-term pullback or consolidation at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Traders should watch the key support and resistance levels closely, as any breach could indicate the next potential move. Given the upcoming economic releases and speeches, increased volatility can be expected, and traders should stay updated with the latest information.


Disclaimer:
The EURCAD technical and fundamental analysis provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it is essential to stay updated with the latest information.


FXGlory
21.06.2024


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FXGLORY

Master Trader
Apr 19, 2012
531
2
59
USDCAD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 25.06.2024


USDCADH4-6-24-2024.jpg
Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)



Fundamental Analysis:

The USD/CAD forex pair, representing the exchange rate between the US Dollar and the Canadian Dollar, is set to react to several key economic events today. At 1:30 pm, multiple CPI metrics for Canada are scheduled to be released, including the CPI m/m, Median CPI y/y, Trimmed CPI y/y, Common CPI y/y, and Core CPI m/m. The forecast for the CPI m/m is 0.3%, down from the previous 0.5%, while the Core CPI m/m forecast is 0.2%, slightly lower than the previous 0.5%. Any deviations from these forecasts could result in significant volatility for the CAD. A higher-than-expected CPI could strengthen the CAD as it may increase the likelihood of the Bank of Canada adopting a more hawkish stance. Conversely, lower-than-expected CPI readings could weaken the CAD.



Price Action:
Analyzing the USD/CAD H4 chart, the pair has been in a clear downtrend, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. The USD/CAD price has been moving within a descending channel, indicating sustained bearish momentum. Recently, the price has broken below the Ichimoku Cloud and is now trading near the lower boundary of the channel, indicating strong bearish sentiment.



Key Technical Indicators:
Ichimoku Cloud:
USDCAD price is trading below the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating a strong bearish trend for this pair. The cloud itself is bearish, with the future cloud showing red, which suggests continued downward pressure. The Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines are also indicating bearish momentum as they are positioned below the cloud.
MACD: The MACD line is below the signal line, and the histogram is in negative territory, which confirms the bearish trend on exchange rate between these currencies. The MACD indicator suggests that selling pressure is still dominant, and there are no immediate signs of a bullish reversal.
RSI: The RSI is currently at 32.87, indicating bearish momentum and that the pair is approaching oversold conditions. This suggests that while the bearish trend is strong, there might be a potential for a short-term corrective bounce.


Support and Resistance Levels:
Support:
Immediate support is found at 1.36400. A break below this level could see the pair heading towards the next support at 1.3600.
Resistance: The nearest resistance level is at 1.36730. Above this, resistance is found at 1.36880.


Conclusion and Consideration:
The USD/CAD pair on the H4 chart shows strong bearish momentum, supported by the Ichimoku Cloud, MACD, and RSI indicators. Traders should watch for potential volatility around the release of the Canadian CPI data. While the overall trend is bearish, the RSI suggests that the pair might be due for a short-term bounce from oversold conditions. Caution is advised as fundamental news could lead to sharp movements.


Disclaimer: The analysis provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it is essential to stay updated with the latest information.


FXGlory
25.06.2024

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FXGLORY

Master Trader
Apr 19, 2012
531
2
59
AUDCAD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 26.06.2024



AUDCAD_H4-chart-analysis-for-6-26-24 (2).jpg



Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:

The AUD/CAD forex pair, representing the exchange rate between the Australian Dollar and the Canadian Dollar, is currently subject to several significant economic events. Recent fluctuations in global commodity prices, particularly those affecting Australia's primary exports, alongside economic indicators from both countries, have contributed to the volatility observed in this pair.


Price Action:
Analyzing the AUDCAD H4 chart, the pair shows a mixed trend with periods of volatility influenced by external economic factors. The price has been fluctuating within a range, indicating uncertainty among traders regarding the future direction.


Key Technical Indicators:
Bollinger Bands:
The current position within the Bollinger Bands indicates that the market is potentially overbought. Prices nearing the upper band suggest that a pullback might be due. This is a signal for traders to consider taking profits on long positions as a correction could be imminent.
MACD: The MACD line is hovering around the histogram bar, suggesting potential bearish momentum if it moves below the signal line. This position is a typical bearish signal, indicating that traders might consider short positions or exercise caution with long positions.


Support and Resistance Levels:
Support:
The immediate support level is around 0.9040. A break below this level could lead the pair to test the next support at 0.9000.
Resistance: The nearest resistance is at 0.9100, followed by a stronger resistance level at 0.9140.


Conclusion and Consideration:
The AUDCAD pair on the H4 chart displays mixed signals with a bearish inclination suggested by the MACD and Parabolic SAR indicators. The Bollinger Bands indicate an overbought condition, hinting at a potential correction. Traders should monitor these levels closely and watch for any fundamental news that might impact the pair, such as changes in commodity prices or economic data releases from Australia and Canada.


Disclaimer: The analysis provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it is essential to stay updated with the latest information.


FXGlory
26.06.2024

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FXGLORY

Master Trader
Apr 19, 2012
531
2
59
EURUSD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 27.06.2024


EURUSD_H4_Chart_Daily_Technical_and_Fundamental_Analysis_for_27.jpg


Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:

The EUR/USD news analysis today is influenced by significant economic indicators and news releases. For the Euro, the M3 Money Supply and private loans data provide insights into economic health and lending trends within the Eurozone. For the US Dollar, today's high-impact news includes the Final GDP q/q, expected at 1.4%, and Unemployment Claims forecasted at 236K. Stronger-than-expected GDP growth and lower unemployment claims are likely to support the USD, while weaker data could benefit the Euro. Additionally, medium-impact releases such as Core Durable Goods Orders and Durable Goods Orders will further influence the EUR/USD market sentiment and direction.

Price Action:
The EUR/USD H4 chart exhibits a bearish trend for the pair, with the price making lower highs and lower lows. The pair has recently been trading below the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating sustained bearish momentum. The “Fiber’s” price action shows a potential descending triangle pattern, which could signal further downside if support levels are breached.


Key Technical Indicators:
Ichimoku Cloud:
The price is below the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting a bearish trend. The future cloud is also red, indicating potential continued bearish sentiment.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is currently at 35.96, indicating that the pair is approaching oversold territory. This could suggest a potential for a short-term reversal if the RSI dips further but fails to break the oversold threshold.


Support and Resistance:
Support Levels:
The immediate support level is at 1.06650, followed by a secondary support at 1.06550.
Resistance Levels: The nearest resistance is at 1.07139, with further resistance at 1.07640 and 1.08000.


Conclusion and Consideration:
The EUR/USD forecast live shows strong bearish momentum, as evidenced by the position below the Ichimoku Cloud and the descending RSI. Traders should monitor the key support level at 1.06650; a breach below this level could signal further downside. Conversely, if the RSI indicates oversold conditions, a short-term bounce to the resistance levels could occur. Fundamental factors, including today's economic releases, will play a crucial role in determining the pair's direction. Proper risk management, including setting stop losses, is essential due to potential market volatility around high-impact news.


Disclaimer: The provided analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.


FXGlory
27.06.2024


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FXGLORY

Master Trader
Apr 19, 2012
531
2
59
USDJPY H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis


USDJPY-H4-Daily-Technical-and-Fundamental-Analysis-on-28.06.jpg

Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)



Fundamental Analysis:

The USDJPY currency pair reflects the exchange rate between the US Dollar (USD) and the Japanese Yen (JPY). Today's upcoming USD news includes several low to medium impact events such as speeches by FOMC members and data on Personal Income and Spending. Notably, the Core PCE Price Index, forecasted at 0.1%, is a crucial inflation measure for the Fed. These indicators may provide insights into future US monetary policy, potentially influencing USD volatility. For JPY, the medium impact Tokyo Core CPI is forecasted at 2.0%, and other low impact data such as Unemployment Rate, Industrial Production, and Housing Starts are expected, which could affect the JPY's performance.


Price Action:
The USDJPY pair on the H4 timeframe is experiencing a clear bullish trend, with the price reaching its highest level since 2010. The price action shows a consistent upward movement as the candles move from the lower to the middle and now the upper Bollinger Bands, indicating strong bullish momentum. Recently, the price has been moving upwards steadily, supported by a positive trend in the market.



Key Technical Indicators:
Parabolic SAR:
The Parabolic SAR indicator shows the last three dots positioned below the candles, confirming a bullish trend. This placement indicates continued upward momentum, suggesting traders might look for buy opportunities as long as the dots remain under the price.
MACD: The MACD indicator shows the MACD line crossing above the signal line with the histogram displaying increasing momentum. This bullish crossover suggests strengthening upward momentum, which supports the ongoing bullish trend in the USDJPY pair.
Moving Averages: The short-term Moving Average (9-period, blue) has crossed above the long-term Moving Average (17-period, orange), both moving upwards. This crossover is a bullish signal, indicating that the short-term price trend is gaining strength relative to the long-term trend.


Support and Resistance:
Support:
Immediate support is located at 1.36600, aligning with a recent consolidation area and the middle Bollinger Band.
Resistance: The nearest resistance level is at 1.37481, which coincides with the 0.382 Fibonacci level and recent highs.


Conclusion and Consideration:
The USDJPY pair on the H4 chart shows sustained bullish momentum, supported by the Parabolic SAR, MACD, and Moving Averages indicators. The current price action within an ascending channel indicates that the bulls are in control, with potential further gains as indicated by the key technical indicators. However, traders should remain cautious due to potential increased volatility from the upcoming economic data releases and speeches from key officials. It is essential to monitor these events closely as they could significantly impact market conditions.


Disclaimer:
The provided analysis of USDJPY is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change rapidly, and staying updated with the latest information is crucial for informed trading decisions.


FXGlory
28.06.2024

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