Long-term and Short-term Setups

Tricia Wilson

Trader
Jul 8, 2020
218
4
19
44
GBP/USD Technical Analysis

~~ The counter is forming a descending triangle at the high.
~~ It made a fake-out at the resistive trendline and then sold off only to form a bearish flag pattern in the near-term.
~~ We expect the bearish flag to break down and the price to move to the short-term support zone.


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Tricia Wilson

Trader
Jul 8, 2020
218
4
19
44
AUD/USD Technical Analysis

~~ As we mentioned earlier, AUD/USD has formed a gramophone pattern.
~~It has now formed an inverted head and shoulder pattern the supportive trendline and has broken out.
~~ And the RSI indicator has also replicated the same pattern, which validates the strength in the counter.
~~ Further, the prices are now trading above a strong support level of 0.71727.
~~ Hence, we expect the pair to be bullish from here on.


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Tricia Wilson

Trader
Jul 8, 2020
218
4
19
44
USD/CAD Technical Analysis

~~ The counter has been trading with a bearish bias for long.
~~ The down move can be plotted with a pitchfork and the pair is making its last leg of the move down.
~~ Hence, we advise traders to go long at the lower parallel.
~~ And the upswing has a great chance to break the upper end of the range.


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Tricia Wilson

Trader
Jul 8, 2020
218
4
19
44
EUR/USD Technical Analysis

~~ The counter has made a bullish breakout from the consolidation.
~~ It is now taking support and broken resistance, which is a powerful sign.
~~ Further, the consolidation can be interpreted as wave 4 and it is gonna make a move to wave 5.
~~ Hence, we expect the pair to be bullish in the near-term

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Tricia Wilson

Trader
Jul 8, 2020
218
4
19
44
GBP/NZD Technical Analysis

~~ The counter has formed a topping out formation in the near-term.
~~ It made a double top and has broken a key support level of 1.99508.
~~ Further, the round number of 2.00 can act as psychological barrier in the near-term.
~~ Though a pullback to the top cannot be ruled out, we still expect the pair to be bearish in the near-term.

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Tricia Wilson

Trader
Jul 8, 2020
218
4
19
44
NZD/JPY Wave Analysis

~~ The counter is currently formed a flat ABC corrective wave.
~~ It broke out from a bear flag pattern, tested the broken support, and is now coming down with strong momentum.
~~ Hence, we expect the pair to be bearish in the near-term.

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Tricia Wilson

Trader
Jul 8, 2020
218
4
19
44
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis

~~ The counter had multiple supports- trendline, bullish flag support and price action support.
~~ But it has broken all the levels and bulls are trapped big time.
~~ Hence, we expect some long unwinding move in the counter.
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Onanak

Trader
Feb 5, 2019
60
2
24
47
Tricia, thank you for sharing your analysis on this forum. It is very useful especially for beginners. Do you make this kind of analysis only for fiat currencies, or maybe you have something on cryptos also? It would be nice to see your analysis of this market
 

Tricia Wilson

Trader
Jul 8, 2020
218
4
19
44
NZD/USD Technical Analysis

~~ The counter is currently is descending channel pattern.
~~ It hit the lower parallel and bounced off with a ascending channel pattern.
~~ Hence, we expect the pair to trade with positive bias in the short-term.


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Tricia Wilson

Trader
Jul 8, 2020
218
4
19
44
USD/CHF Technical Analysis

~~ The counter is currently in sideways consolidation.
~~ It made a false breakout at the lower end of the range and has crept in and now forming a symmetrical triangle pattern.
~~ We expect the triangle to render a bullish breakout and push the price to upper end of the range for now.


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Tricia Wilson

Trader
Jul 8, 2020
218
4
19
44
EUR/GBP Technical Analysis

~~ The counter is currently consolidating in a wedge pattern.
~~ It hit the lower end of the range, formed an exhaustion candle and rose up sharply.
~~ Now, it is sliding to a demand zone where we expect buying activity to resume in the counter.


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Tricia Wilson

Trader
Jul 8, 2020
218
4
19
44
NZD/USD Technical Analysis

~~ As suggested earlier, the counter found support at the supportive trendline and bounced off.
~~ Now, it has broken the resistive trendline as well and consolidating just above it.
~~ We expect the pair resume to bull trend and head to the immediate resistance marked in the chart.
~~ The support zone marked in the chart can cap the declines.

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Tricia Wilson

Trader
Jul 8, 2020
218
4
19
44
EUR/CHF Technical Analysis

~~ The strength of Swiss Franc bewilders us as it was able to contain the hottest currency like Euro.
~~ Despite EUR/USD & EUR/JPY moving to great heights, it is still in bearish territory and the counter has absorbed intense buying pressure.
~~ Technically, the formation resembles a round top and so a sell-off is on the cards when the Euro corrects against erstwhile currencies.

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Tricia Wilson

Trader
Jul 8, 2020
218
4
19
44
GBP/CHF Technical Analysis
  • The counter is currently in a 3-wave bear cycle.
  • Further, it is currently forming wave B in the form of a bearish flag pattern and is close to the resistance zone.
  • Hence, we expect the pair to find resistance around this area and commence its wave C.

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Tricia Wilson

Trader
Jul 8, 2020
218
4
19
44
EUR/GBP Technical Analysis

~~ The counter is now on the verge of completing a 3-wave bear cycle.
~~ It is now approaching a strong demand zone which also coincides with the 61.8% retracement of the entire rally.
~~ We expect the pair to kickstart a fresh bull cycle from here.

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Tricia Wilson

Trader
Jul 8, 2020
218
4
19
44
USD/CHF Technical Analysis

~~ The counter has broken off from a falling wedge pattern.
~~ It is now hovering around the broken trendline.
~~ We expect the support zone to arrest any pullback and catapult the prices higher.

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Tricia Wilson

Trader
Jul 8, 2020
218
4
19
44
AUD/USD Technical Analysis

~~ The counter has been in the declining mode for the last 2 days.
~~ It made an inverse head and shoulder and has broken the neckline.
~~ Further, it has broken the immediate trendline as well.
~~ Hence, we expect the pair to be bullish in the near-term.

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Tricia Wilson

Trader
Jul 8, 2020
218
4
19
44
EUR/USD Technical Analysis

~~ The counter is maintaining its positive bias by holding the support of the ascending channel.
~~ As the preceding move also steep, the price needs a bullish correction at the least.
~~ Hence, we expect the pair to be bullish for the next few sessions.

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Tricia Wilson

Trader
Jul 8, 2020
218
4
19
44
AUD/JPY Technical Analysis

~~ AUD/JPY has bounced off from a supportive trendline.
~~ However, the recent fall has depleted the bullish momentum in the counter its now in a rising wedge formation.
~~ We expect the pair to move to trade with bullish bias.

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Tricia Wilson

Trader
Jul 8, 2020
218
4
19
44
GBP/USD Technical Analysis

~~ The counter's dynamics have changed drastically this week.
~~ It turned bearish abruptly due to the risk of no-deal Brexit.
~~ And there has been a significant amount of longs trapped.
~~ It broke the support of 1.30100 which is now capping the rally.
~~ We expect the pair to move down significantly as long as the pair stays below this level.
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