GOLD. Market is in a Brown Study
Correction continued - bears have easily pushed through a first line of bulls' defense, located at a 38.2% Fibonacci correction level of decline started at the beginning of this year and ended in mid-March. At the moment sellers are contained with a 50% correction, but it may fall soon. Today preliminary inflation data for the current month are expected to be published in the euro zone, and it may affect, in particular, on a balance of power in the gold market, if expectations will differ much from the forecast (-0.3% y / y).
In this situation, it is not recommended to act actively, since there are no necessary preconditions for purchases yet (no evidence of rebound). It is also premature to sell, since a current wave of reduction has not been turned in a trend.
EUR / USD. In Anticipation of Inflation Data
A situation in this pair is still unstable – from above a development of an upward correction is limited by a resistance line of a long-term downtrend, as well as by a 61.8% correctional Fibo level of a wave of decline in February-March, while from below bears are restrained in the last two weeks by a short-term support line. In the next few hours a Statistical Service of the euro zone is to publish data on consumer price index, which should definitely be reflected in the formation of investor sentiment.
This publication will give reason to enter the market, depending on what it would be like. If the data will be lower than expected -0.3%, it will put pressure on quotes, since it would mean that a volume of the ECB's asset purchase program could potentially be higher than announced 60 billions per month. More positive data will support bulls.
Correction continued - bears have easily pushed through a first line of bulls' defense, located at a 38.2% Fibonacci correction level of decline started at the beginning of this year and ended in mid-March. At the moment sellers are contained with a 50% correction, but it may fall soon. Today preliminary inflation data for the current month are expected to be published in the euro zone, and it may affect, in particular, on a balance of power in the gold market, if expectations will differ much from the forecast (-0.3% y / y).
In this situation, it is not recommended to act actively, since there are no necessary preconditions for purchases yet (no evidence of rebound). It is also premature to sell, since a current wave of reduction has not been turned in a trend.
EUR / USD. In Anticipation of Inflation Data
A situation in this pair is still unstable – from above a development of an upward correction is limited by a resistance line of a long-term downtrend, as well as by a 61.8% correctional Fibo level of a wave of decline in February-March, while from below bears are restrained in the last two weeks by a short-term support line. In the next few hours a Statistical Service of the euro zone is to publish data on consumer price index, which should definitely be reflected in the formation of investor sentiment.
This publication will give reason to enter the market, depending on what it would be like. If the data will be lower than expected -0.3%, it will put pressure on quotes, since it would mean that a volume of the ECB's asset purchase program could potentially be higher than announced 60 billions per month. More positive data will support bulls.