Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore

Capitalcore

Trader
May 19, 2024
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GBP/USD H4 Chart Analysis: Bearish Channel Dominates


The GBP/USD currency pair, often nicknamed "Cable," reflects the exchange rate between the British Pound and the US Dollar. As one of the most traded pairs in the forex market, it is influenced heavily by macroeconomic data, central bank policies, and global economic conditions.
The GBP/USD fundamental analysis today suggests heightened volatility as several key economic indicators and events come into focus. For the GBP, the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI), including its core and retail components, is due, and its actual numbers exceeding forecasts could boost the pound due to inflationary pressures supporting a potential rate hike by the Bank of England. Additionally, BOE Deputy Governor David Ramsden's speech on monetary policy could provide clues about future interest rate trajectories. Meanwhile, on the USD side, Federal Reserve Governors Lisa Cook and Michelle Bowman will speak on monetary and economic policies, likely influencing the dollar's strength, especially if hawkish tones dominate. This mix of inflation data and high-level speeches could set the tone for Cable's forecast today, particularly as the pair struggles against bearish pressures.
GBPUSD-H4-Chart-Analysis-for-11.20.2024-(1).jpg
Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

The GBP/USD H4 chart shows that the pair is firmly entrenched in a bearish parallel channel, with prices trading below the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling a sustained GBPUSD bearish trend. Additionally, a recent crossover on the Stochastic RSI indicates bullish divergence in oversold territory, hinting at a potential short-term corrective bounce. However, the prevailing bearish structure within the channel remains intact, suggesting sellers are still dominant. The market's inability to break above the cloud or the upper boundary of the channel could reinforce the pair’s bearish sentiment and lead to a continuation of the downtrend. Traders should monitor key support at 1.2650 and resistance near the upper channel trendline for potential trade setups.


• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore
 

Capitalcore

Trader
May 19, 2024
101
0
22
39
USDJPY H4 Chart Insights and Price Action

The USD JPY currency pair, often referred to by its nickname, the "Ninja," represents the dynamic relationship between the US Dollar (USD) and the Japanese Yen (JPY). Known for its liquidity and sensitivity to monetary policies, it is a popular choice among forex traders seeking volatility and trends.
Today, the USDJPY is poised to respond to several critical events, including speeches from Federal Reserve officials like Susan Collins, Beth Hammack, and Austan Goolsbee. These speeches are expected to provide subtle cues on future US monetary policy, which could strengthen the USD if hawkish sentiments dominate. Additionally, US unemployment claims and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index will offer insights into labor market health and economic activity. On the JPY side, BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda's speech could hint at any shifts in Japan’s ultra-loose monetary policy, further influencing the pair. Traders should watch for volatility, especially if Collins' or Hammack's comments diverge from expectations, potentially pushing USD JPY toward key support or resistance levels.
USDJPY-H4-Chart-Technical-Analysis_-Capitalcore-2000-Leverage-on-21-November-2024-.webp

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

The USD/JPY H4 chart displays a bullish trend, with the price currently trading above the Ichimoku cloud, a clear indication of upward momentum. Out of the last 10 candles, 6 are bullish, reinforcing the current positive sentiment. The price sits between the 0 and 0.236 Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting potential room for further upside within this trend channel. The Williams %R indicator is hovering near the overbought zone, signaling a possible pullback or consolidation phase before another upward move. Traders should monitor the lower boundary of the channel for potential support and the upper boundary for breakout opportunities.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore