Market Analysis by Vistabrokers

Vistabrokers

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Dec 29, 2014
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Vista Brokers: Greece Weakened Precarious Position of Gold

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During the Asian trading session on Thursday, price of gold futures continued to reduce. Vista Brokers analysts say that the already precarious position of gold was weakened with the fact that the Greek parliament has passed first needed bills required under terms of a three-year bailout program. On the Comex, gold futures for August delivery have fallen by 0.08% to $ 1,146.50 per troy ounce. Silver for September delivery has fallen in price by 0.27% to $ 15,008 per ounce. Copper continues to rise after yesterday's strong statistics from China - September futures have increased by 0.07% to $ 2.516 per pound.

Many doubted that Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras can persuade parliament to pass unpopular reforms, against which the Greek people had voted. However, necessary measures have been taken with 229 yes, 64 no and 6 present, and now probably Athens will receive the first tranche from creditors. Greece needs the foreign aid desperately to resume the work of banks and to implement overdue payments. It is noteworthy that the "native" left-wing forces did not support their leader that may indicate that the split in parliament is worsening. In his defense, Tsipras said that other than to accept the creditors' plan, he had only two choices - a chaotic default and the voluntary exit from the euro zone.

So, Greece is likely to receive assistance from the EU, the ECB and the IMF, at least the first part of it, which undermines the position of gold as a safe-haven asset to which market participants are turning in unstable times. In addition, the pressure on the metal has the US economic recovery and the high probability that the Fed will raise the interest rate before the end of the year.

So, after a speech of the Federal Reserve head Janet Yellen yesterday gold has collapsed to a minimum of 2015. The head of the US central bank has confirmed that the regulator intends to raise rates later this year, provided that the statistics continue to show improvement in the economic situation.
 

Vistabrokers

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Dec 29, 2014
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Market Pulse 07/17

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Friday will be saturated with statistics, especially during the American trading session, when some interesting data will be published in Canada and the United States.

12:30 *** Consumer Price Index - June (Canada)
12:30 *** Core CPI Bank of Canada - June (Canada)

Strong influence on the market (CAD). It is expected a slight increase in the consumer price index in the first summer month, although given the recent rate cut by the Bank of Canada, even if the growth is stronger than expected, it will hardly support the Canadian dollar.

12:30 *** Building Permits - June (USA)
12:30 ** Housing Starts - June (USA)
12:30 *** Consumer Price Index - June (USA)
12:30 *** Core CPI - June (USA)
12:30 ** Consumer Price Index - June (USA)
12:30 ** Core CPI - June (USA)

Strong influence on the market (USD). This week was very busy in terms of statistics, particularly for the USA, where the large portion of important data was published. Among Friday's statistics Vista Brokers analysts recommend to pay most attention to the consumer price index. The strong data may support market confidence that the Fed's rate hike is coming.

14:00 *** UoM Consumer Sentiment Index (Prelim) - July (USA)
14:00 ** Stanley Fischer (Fed Vice Chairman) Speaks - July (USA)

Strong influence on the market (USD). The UoM consumer sentiment index is predicted to rise, and the positive data may provide an additional support for the dollar. Fisher comments may also be interesting for the market, in particular, the vice chairman of the US central bank can confirm Fed's intention to raise the rate.
 

Vistabrokers

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Dec 29, 2014
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Vista Brokers: EUR / USD Update Lows

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On Thursday, the euro was mainly declining against the US dollar, although as Vista Brokers analysts say, fundamental background for the major currency pair was saturated and mixed. The trading day began with the news that the Greek parliament had passed the first bills, which the Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras and his team agreed with creditors. It would seem that it is positive information for the euro, but it has forced investors to focus on the problem that Tsipras has ceased to enjoy the support of his party, which puts his premiership into question.

Given that the situation in Greece is more or less stabilized, and it became clear that the country will receive, at least, the first tranche, has returned the market to the subject of Fed's interest rate hike. The Fed's head Janet Yellen has reiterated in her yesterday's speech, that the US central bank is going to raise the rate this year. She noted, again, that the regulator will monitor statistics, which should show a stable economic recovery.

Yesterday's weekly data on the number of initial applications for unemployment insurance in the United States, has showed a further decline by 15 000; the number of counting claims also fell more than expected. Thus the Philly Fed manufacturing index has fallen to 4-month low of 5.7, while analysts had expected a decline to only 11.9.

Among important events of Thursday, should be noted also a press conference of the ECB President Mario Draghi, who reiterated that the European Central Bank is going to use the program of quantitative easing in the previously announced volume. Amid this the euro has fallen against the dollar to a 7-week low.
 

Vistabrokers

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Dec 29, 2014
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Vista Brokers: Fundamental Background Supported Dollar

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On Friday, the dollar has increased to the highest in the last month and a half level relative to other major currencies. Vista Brokers analysts say that the American currency was supported with fresh statistics from the USA, which gave another argument to expect the Fed's rate hike in the near future. Recall that the head of the Federal Reserve Janet Yellen has recently confirmed that the rate will be increased this year, but only if the statistics satisfy the regulator.

Over the past week data were multi-directional, but in general, the situation in the US economy looks optimistic, especially when compared with the euro area with its debt crisis and a slowing Chinese economy. On Friday was published data on changes in the consumer price index, and as forecasts had predicted, in June the index rose by 0.3% mom and by 0.1% yoy.

Also note that the data on the real estate market, namely building permits and housing starts in the United States came out much better than expected. A fly in the ointment was only the index of consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan, which in July has dropped from 96.1 to 93.3 vs. 96.0. Nevertheless, the dollar index has increased by 0.20% to 97.97 (maximum from June 2). The EUR / USD has finished the day at around 1.08287.
 

Vistabrokers

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Dec 29, 2014
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Vista Brokers: Oil Is Rising after Baker Hughes Data

On Monday, the fundamental backdrop is calm in the absence of important publications. Vista Brokers analysts note that oil today takes a lead from the last week statistics, namely Baker Hughes information regards oil rigs changing in the United States. According to the company, which is engaged in industry researches, the number of rigs in the US has dropped last week by 7 to 638. Amid this oil restores the position.
Find more at [URL deleted]

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Vistabrokers

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Dec 29, 2014
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Vista Brokers: Quiet Trading, Strong Dollar

On Monday trading was quiet and the US dollar remained at 3-months highs vs. its major competitors in Forex. Vista Brokers analysts note that the US currency continues to receive the tremendous support from the maturing market confidence that the Fed will raise the interest rate in the near future. In the new data absence traders in EUR/USD continued to take a lead from statistics published on Friday, and in particular, data on inflation in the USA.
Read full daily analysis at [URL deleted].

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Vistabrokers

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Dec 29, 2014
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57
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Vista Brokers: RBA and BOJ still Bear up for Monetary Easing

Asian stock market is rising after minutes publication in Japan and Australia. The Reserve Bank of Australia and the Bank of Japan both have shown that they bear up for a policy of monetary easing at their last meetings.

Amid this the main Japanese Nikkei index has added 0.55% and the S & P / ASX - 0.29%. Meanwhile, China's Shanghai Composite and Hang Seng have gained 0.26% and 0.39% respectively. Just published at [URL deleted]

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Vistabrokers

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Dec 29, 2014
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57
www.vistabrokers.com
www.vistabrokers.com
Vista Brokers: Market Participants Take Profits on EUR/USD

EUR/USD has rallied by more than 1% yesterday.

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It seems that situation in the euro zone has stabilized, and investors started to fix their profits. Read the full daily analysis at [URL deleted].
 

Vistabrokers

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Dec 29, 2014
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Vista Brokers: Oil Falls prior to US Data

WTI futures have dropped to a more than 3-month low amid speculations in the market about today's data from API.

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Oil is under pressure, not only because of finished negotiations on Iran. There are also some other factors of pressure. Discover them all at [URL deleted]
 

Vistabrokers

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Dec 29, 2014
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Market Pulse 07/23

On Thursday, the most important Forex releases are expected in the European and American trading sessions.

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Retail Sales in the UK and Canada, Unemployment Claims in the USA. What other information needs your attention? Find out at [URL deleted]Fundamental Analysis of Vista Brokers.
 

Vistabrokers

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Dec 29, 2014
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Vista Brokers: Greece Voted for New Reforms

EUR/USD fluctuations are uneven amid the fundamental background.

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Greece continues to influence the Forex market and cause sharp jumps of currencies. Get the wind of trends from [URL deleted]Vista Brokers Fundamental Analysis.
 

Vistabrokers

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Dec 29, 2014
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Vista Brokers: Oil Remains below $ 50

Oil is rising but staying lower than $50 (WTI).

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The market is pressured with weak statistics from the USA, concerns about the global economy slowdown and the Iran nuclear deal. Discover more at [URL deleetd]Fundamental Analysis of Vista Brokers
 

Vistabrokers

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Dec 29, 2014
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Market Pulse 07/24

On Friday the economic calendar is full of interesting statistics from the euro zone.

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Find out what news will influence the Forex market today at [URL deleetd]Fundamental Analysis of Vista Brokers.
 

Vistabrokers

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Dec 29, 2014
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Vista Brokers: Euro Reasserts Itself

Did you know that one of the most important economic indicators in the USA is now at its best level since 1973?

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Of course it increases chances that the Fed will soon raise interest rates. Always stay tuned with [URL deleted]Vista Brokers Fundamental Analysis.
 

Vistabrokers

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Dec 29, 2014
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Market Pulse 07/27

Today, the new week in Forex market starts from IFO statistics in Germany and data on durable goods in the USA.

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We wish you interesting and full of profit trading week. Read more at Vista Brokers Fundamental Analysis.
 

Vistabrokers

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Dec 29, 2014
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Vista Brokers: Business Activity in Euro Zone Is Getting Worse

On Friday there was a lot of disappointing statistics for EUR, as well as for USD.

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Due to expectations of the Fed rate hike, the market is very sensitive to American statistics, and it gave EUR/USD a chance to increase. Find out more at Fundamental Analysis of Vista Brokers.
 

Vistabrokers

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Dec 29, 2014
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Oil Market Weekly Review by Vista Brokers

Last week oil has lost 4-5% amid the lifting of sanctions in Iran and some other factors.

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Do you want to know how the market will behave itself this week? So read the full weekly analysis at Fundamental Analysis of Vista Brokers
 

Vistabrokers

Master Trader
Dec 29, 2014
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Market Pulse 07/28

News calendar is not too saturated today, but some important data will be released in the UK, the USA and Canada.

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The US consumer confidence indicator may give investors guideline prior to the Fed meeting. Read the full version at Fundamental Analysis of Vista Brokers.
 

Vistabrokers

Master Trader
Dec 29, 2014
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57
www.vistabrokers.com
www.vistabrokers.com
Vista Brokers: Market Worries prior to Fed Meeting

On Monday EUR/USD flew to space amid concerns prior to the Fed meeting.

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The US economy recovers, but not so steady. So will it be enough for the Fed to rise the interest rate this year? Discover more at Fundamental Analysis of Vista Brokers.