The main trend is still bullish, but there's a "V-Bottom" pattern, so the market is likely going to test the Moving Averages. If a pullback from these lines happens little later on, there'll be a moment for another decline.
There're two "V-Bottom" patterns in a row, so it's time for a bullish correction. The main intraday target is the nearest resistance area at 1.2313, which could be a departure point for a decline in the direction of the next support at 1.2254 - 1.2233.
On the daily chart of USD/CAD, the pair reached 113% and 127.2% targets of “Shark” and AB=CD. This increases the risk of a correction. At the same time, as long as the pair remains above 1.2915, bulls are in total control of the situation.
On H1, there’s a sustainable uptrend. The pair’s confidently moving towards 161.8% target of AB=CD. In case of a pullback with the following recovery from support levels at 1.3000 and 1.2960, traders will have a chance to open long positions.
On the daily chart of XAU/USD, there is consolidation in the range of 1302-1340 within the “Spike and ledge” pattern on the base of 1-2-3. A break of the bottom line will increase risks of decline to the 88.6% target of the “Bat” pattern. Vice versa, a successful hit of the resistance at 1340 may lead to a recovery of the uptrend.
On H1, a realization of “Head and shoulders” and AB=CD patterns is continuing. If the pair reaches the 161.8% target of the AB=CD pattern, reversal risks will increase.
Buy — 0.7700; SL — 0.7680; TP1 — 0.7740; TP2 — 0.7780.
Reason: bearish Ichimoku Cloud with falling Senkou Span A and B; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with falling Tenkan-sen; the market is oversold and aussie may go to Tenkan-sen in correctional movement.
Buy — 106.30; SL — 106.10; TP1 — 107.50; TP2 — 107.80.
Reason: expanding bearish Ichimoku Cloud with falling Senkou Span A; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but narrowing channel of Tenkan-Kijun; the market is breaking out the resistance of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen.
There're bearish patterns such a "Tower" and a "Shooting Star", which both have been confirmed. So, the market is likely going to test the 144 Moving Average, which could be a departure point for another bullish price movement.
The last bearish "High Wave" pattern led to the current decline. It's likely that the pair is going to test the next support area in the short term. If any reversal pattern forms afterwards, bulls will probably try to deliver an upward price movement.
The pair has been rising since the last "Engulfing" pattern formed. The main target is the 89 Moving Average. If a pullback from this line happens little later on, there'll be a moment for another decline.
There's a bearish "High Wave" pattern, which hasn't been confirmed yet. So, if a pullback from the Moving Averages happens, bulls are likely going to test the upper "Window".
On the daily chart of USD/CHF, bulls managed to settle above an important level of 0.9510. This indicates their strength and allows to expect an advance to 88.6% target of the “Shark” pattern. To begin with, however, the pair needs to get out of the descending channel.
On H1, there’s a sustainable uptrend. Pullbacks to support at 0.9520 and 0.9480 should be used for buying with targets at 161.8% and 200% of AB=CD.
On the daily chart of GBP/USD, there was a natural pullback after the pair reached the 88.6% target of the subsidiary “Shark” pattern. An inside bar was formed. A break of the resistance at 1.4065 will increase risks of the rally’s continuation to the 88.6% target of the parent “Shark” pattern.
On H1, the formation of the reversal “Three Indians” pattern endangered the implementation of “Wolfe Waves” and “Shark” patterns. To continue the uptrend, bulls need to break the resistance at 1.4065.
There's a bullish "Harami", which has been confirmed, so the market is likely going to test the Moving Averages soon. If a pullback from these lines happens little later on, there'll be an opportunity to have another decline.
We've got a bearish "High Wave", so the pair is likely going to test the lower "Window" once again. A pullback from this level will be a departure point for an upward price movement towards the Moving Averages.
There's a "Shooting Star" pattern, which has been formed on the 55 Moving Average, so we're likely going to have a local bearish correction. Nevertheless, bulls will probably try to test the 89 MA afterwards.
The price is consolidating along the Moving Averages. It's likely that bears are going to test the nearest support once again. If we have another pullback from this level, there'll be a moment to have an upward price movement in the direction of the upper "Window".
The last "Double Bottom" led to the current upward price movement. It's likely to have a local bearish correction during the day. The main intraday target is the next resistance at 1.2383 - 1.2396.
The last bullish "Flag" pushed the price higher. It's likely that the pair is going to continue moving up in the direction of another resistance at 1.4144 - 1.4277.
Bulls faced with resistance at 1.4144, so the price is consolidating. The nearest support at 1.4087 - 1.4069 could be a departure point for an upward price movement.
The price has been rising since a "Harami" formed. There's no any reversal pattern, so the market is likely going to test the next resistance area.
There's a local bearish "Harami", which hasn't been confirmed yet. It's likely that the market is going to test the Moving Averages, which could be a departure point for another bullish rally.
There're bearish patterns such a "High Wave" and a "Shooting Star". In this case, the pair is likely going to decline towards the last low in the short term.
We've got a bullish "Harami", so there's an opportunity to have a local upward correction. Nevertheless, the market is likely going to continue declining afterwards.
On the daily chart of EUR/JPY, a break of resistance at 132.25-132.50 will trigger the “Bat” pattern with a target at 88.6%. On the other hand, a slide to March minimum will allow bears to resume the decline towards 200% target of AB=CD.
On H1, a “Shark” is transforming into 5-0. A successful test of support at 129.60 will increase the risks of a further selloff. On the other hand, advance above resistance at 132.15 will create grounds for correction.
On the daily chart, the inability of bulls USD/JPY to bring the pair outside of the downtrend channel and keep them above 106.50 points at their weakness. To continue the decline towards 161.8% target of AB=CD, bears need a confident test of support at 105.35.
On H1, the transformation of the “Shark” into 5-0 allowed forming short positions. Triggering of AB=CD will allow bears to continue the decline towards 161.8%.
Buy — 1.2360; SL — 1.2340; TP1 — 1.2400; TP2 — 1.2450
Reason: expanding bearish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a cancelled dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with the rising lines; the market are returned into the positive area.
Sell — 1.4200; SL — 1.4220; TP1 — 1.4140; TP2 — 1.4080.
Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A and B; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with the rising lines; the market was supported by Kijun-sen, but now is overbought and it’s under strong resistance.
The main trend is still bullish. It's likely that the pair is going to test the closest support at 1.2289 - 1.2259, which could be a departure point for another upward price movement.
The price has been declining since a "V-Top" pattern formed. The main intraday target is the nearest trend line. If a pullback from this level happens, there'll be an opportunity to have a bullish price movement towards the next resistance at 1.2358 - 1.2387.
