USD/JPY: US dollar develops flat trading dynamics 20.12.2021
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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/JPY for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.
Current trend
The American currency is developing flat trading dynamics paired with the Japanese yen, consolidating near 113.50.
Market activity remains subdued, as the macroeconomic calendar at the beginning of the week is relatively empty, and market participants are gradually preparing for the winter holidays being in no hurry to open new deals. The dollar, which received an unexpected impetus to growth at the end of last week, is still quite attractive for investment: its quotes rushed up against the backdrop of the rhetoric of the US Fed's members about the beginning of a systematic tightening of monetary policy.
Earlier, the American regulator announced the acceleration of the rate of curtailment of the quantitative easing (QE) program, which will allow the Fed to enter the vector of interest rate hikes in March 2022. In general, the US Fed plans to raise its level three times next year if the situation develops according to a favorable scenario. In this regard, the Bank of Japan is inferior to the American regulator. Last Friday, Japanese officials kept interest rates at -0.1%, but also announced a cutback to the emergency funding program, noting the success of the national economic recovery.
Support and resistance
Bollinger Bands in D1 chart show weak growth. The price range is narrowing, reflecting ambiguous dynamics of trading in the short term. MACD is reversing downwards forming a new sell signal (trying to consolidate below the signal line). In addition, the indicator tests the zero level for a breakdown. In turn, Stochastic shows a more confident decline, signaling in favor of further development of the "bearish" trend in the ultra-short term.
Resistance levels: 114.00, 114.50, 115.00, 115.50.
Support levels: 113.50, 113.00, 112.50, 112.06.
Trading tips
To open long positions, one can rely on the breakout of 114.00 with the target at 115.00. Stop-loss — 113.50. Implementation time: 2-3 days.
The breakdown of 113.00 may serve as a signal to new sales with the target at 112.06. Stop-loss — 113.50.
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