Price Action Swing Trading - The PAST Strategy

Nigel Price

Master Trader
Jun 26, 2013
836
4
64
www.forexuseful.com
Right guys, stop at break-even, bias is to the downside as long as price remains below the purple trendline. Would be happy to short another rally up there if it happens. Would also consider adding/initiating a new position on a break/retest of the green trendline. Below that comes in the trendline from the weekly report.
 

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Nigel Price

Master Trader
Jun 26, 2013
836
4
64
www.forexuseful.com
Not tightening the stop just yet, but will want to see price stay below the trendline - it's moved pretty quick so there could be some room for some consolidation/retrace now. If you missed, you could short again under the trendline if/when we get there.

(forum only lets me post once every 30 seconds, very annoying :mad:)
 

Nigel Price

Master Trader
Jun 26, 2013
836
4
64
www.forexuseful.com
We should have all been able to get in around the 170.50 mark - position now about 40 pips profit. Would love to see a break of 170 today, but that might be asking a bit much...
 

Nigel Price

Master Trader
Jun 26, 2013
836
4
64
www.forexuseful.com
Stop at b/e now - will wait to see if price just continues on to the downside or retraces. If it retraces and knocks out my stop, no worries, it's a potential opportunity to short again at a higher price, under the trendline. :)
 

Nigel Price

Master Trader
Jun 26, 2013
836
4
64
www.forexuseful.com
Right 170.70 breached - anyone trading this should now be flat. Don't short again unless price is below trendline. If price continues up it's fine, we aren't in the trade. No watching losses getting bigger. If we roll over, we can consider getting in again.
 

Nigel Price

Master Trader
Jun 26, 2013
836
4
64
www.forexuseful.com
The thing about false breaks is often after one occurs, price steams off in the opposite direction, big-time. There is simply no reason that I can think of to keep a position open in such a scenario. Anyone trading this this afternoon should have losses no bigger than about 30 pips, max.
 

Nigel Price

Master Trader
Jun 26, 2013
836
4
64
www.forexuseful.com
Updated chart to reflect last spike down. If price flies off to the upside now it doesn't matter, we aren't in the market. Given that price moves 350 pips in an average week on this pair, we did some really good business here today. Won't be interested unless price gets below the green trendline now, or else right up against the upper orange trendline.

Signing off for today, hope this was of some help :)
 

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Nigel Price

Master Trader
Jun 26, 2013
836
4
64
www.forexuseful.com
Morning All :)

The chart is pretty much unchanged from last night. Price is now coiling quite tightly - when it does this the chances of us seeing some strong momentum, when it eventually makes its move, is higher.

All we have to do is make sure if the move is in the direction we want, we make as much as possible - if the move is in the direction we don't want, we lose as little as possible. Name of the game :)
 

Nigel Price

Master Trader
Jun 26, 2013
836
4
64
www.forexuseful.com
WARNING: Rant enclosed

On GBPJPY right now - I don't care who you are - you don't know what way it is going to go, up or down.

Everyone has an opinion, based on their own views. Or more popular, if they don't have views of their own, they copy someone else's views. The game of the markets is that you express that view beforehand, backed up by whatever reasons you have (which could be literally anything).

Then, when the price breaks out in your direction, you crow loudly about how fantastic your analysis is and how you are a hotshot trader with remarkable market insight and anyone who doesn't listen to you is stupid, because quite obviously you are someone who is serious about markets.

If price breaks out in the direction against your view, you shut up for a while and hope no-one notices. Or blame some other extraneous circumstance for interfering with your top-notch analysis.

What complete rubbish. The movement of the market neither validates or invalidates your prior view. It just went in one of the three directions it can only go - up, down, or sideways.

So, get over yourself and just admit, you don't know. Once you can get down off your high horse and make that admission, you can get on with the important things in trading - controlling your losses and exploiting your gains.

That's my rant over for today! :):)