Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

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Inflation in the UK Has Fallen
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According to Forex Factory, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading came in below expectations: while analysts had forecast a decline to 2.7% year-on-year from the previous 2.8%, the actual CPI figure was 2.6%.

Following the release of this news, the GBP/USD exchange rate rose to 1.3280 – the highest level in seven months.

On the one hand, falling inflation is a sign of a healthy economy and a relief for the Bank of England, especially considering that CPI stood in double digits just two years ago. As a result, analysts may now predict that interest rates could be cut at the meeting scheduled for 8 May.

On the other hand, demand for the dollar remains volatile due to Trump’s tariff policies, fears of a US recession, and a wave of bond sell-offs.

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TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
 
Market Analysis: GBP/USD Rockets Higher While EUR/GBP Slips
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GBP/USD is gaining pace above the 1.3220 resistance. EUR/GBP declined and is now consolidating losses above the 0.8500 region.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP Analysis Today

  • The British Pound is attempting a fresh increase above 1.3220.
  • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.3245 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
  • EUR/GBP is trading in a bearish zone below the 0.8630 pivot level.
  • There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.8570 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair remained well-bid above the 1.2850 level. The British Pound started a decent increase above the 1.3000 zone against the US Dollar.

The bulls were able to push the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.3150. The pair even climbed above 1.3200 and traded as high as 1.3263. It is now consolidating gains and trading well above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3030 swing low to the 1.3263 high.

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TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
 
How to Trade with Hybrid Strategies
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In today's intricate financial landscape, traders have an array of strategies at their disposal. This article delves into the core methods—technical, fundamental, and algorithmic/quantitative analysis—and introduces the concept of hybrid strategies. Learn how combining these techniques can offer a balanced approach to trading, enhancing decision-making and risk mitigation.

Creating Hybrid Trading Strategies

In the world of trading, there are primarily two schools of thought: fundamental analysis (FA) and technical analysis (TA). Fundamental analysis delves deep into economic indicators such as GDP, inflation rates, and earnings reports, aiming to assess an asset's intrinsic value.

On the other hand, technical analysis focuses on studying past price movements and trading volumes, often through charts, to predict future activity. You can find all the charts and tools necessary for technical trading strategies over in FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform.

While both approaches have their merits, a growing number of traders are blending these methodologies to create what are known as hybrid strategies.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
 
Chipmaker Stocks Declines
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According to the charts, semiconductor stocks underperformed the broader equity market yesterday. While the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) fell by around 2.2%, the drop was far steeper across the chip sector:

→ The bullish semiconductor ETF (SOXL) declined by 15%;
→ Nvidia (NVDA) shares fell by 6.9%;
→ Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) dropped by 7.3%.

In other words, chipmaker stocks dragged down the broader market, raising concerns ahead of the upcoming earnings season.

Why Are Chip Stocks Falling?

The decline stems from corporate assessments of how the escalating global trade war and new tariffs could impact future performance.

According to media reports:
→ AMD expects to face tariffs of up to $800 million on exports to China;
→ For Nvidia, similar levies could exceed $5 billion.
Technical Analysis – Nvidia (NVDA)

The price continues to fluctuate within a downward channel, previously identified in our analysis:

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TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
 
Gold Price Surpasses $3,300 for the First Time in History
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Just six days ago, we highlighted the historic breakthrough of the $3,200 level for the first time. Now, as the XAU/USD chart shows today, the price of an ounce of gold on global exchanges is fluctuating above $3,300.

Bullish sentiment is being driven by a weakening US dollar and rising trade tensions between the United States and China, which are boosting gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. In response to these developments, Goldman Sachs analysts have raised their year-end 2025 forecast to $3,700.

However, technical analysis is beginning to flash some bearish signals.

Technical Analysis of XAU/USD

Using the latest data, we have drawn an ascending channel on the hourly chart that more accurately reflects price action since 8 April. Initially, the price moved within a narrow range, but after breaking the S-line, it found support (indicated by an arrow) at the lower boundary of the channel.

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TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
 
The Pound and Euro Reach New Yearly Highs
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Despite global economic instability and Donald Trump’s tariff policy, the EUR/USD and GBP/USD currency pairs are demonstrating upward momentum, reaching new yearly highs.

Today, market participants are focused on the European Central Bank meeting, where significant statements regarding monetary policy are expected. Yesterday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell highlighted the impact of the tariff policy on the US economy, which added volatility to the currency markets. These events could significantly influence the further movement of major currency pairs, setting a new trajectory for their quotes.

EUR/USD

Following sharp growth last week, EUR/USD has entered a sideways phase between 1.1480–1.1260. If the 1.1260–1.1240 levels continue to act as support, the pair may accumulate potential to resume its upward movement towards the 1.1700–1.1600 range. If 1.1240 is broken to the downside, the downward correction may intensify towards 1.1100–1.1000.

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TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.