Monday 7th of March 2011 Technical Analysis Report
EUR/USD
The European currency continued rising against the U.S. dollar whereas the pair hits fresh 3-month high by reaching the level 1.4008, this bullish move was formed through moving inside a bullish channel for the short and medium-term, the resistance area between the level 1.4008 and the level 1.3978 which represents 127% Fibonacci continuous level for the downtrend (from 1.3861 to 1.3428) coincides with the top boarder of the bullish channel to form a bullish top with the appearance of reflective candles that provides a probability of corrective bearish move during the upcoming trades targeting to re-test the support level 1.3861 but under the condition of holding the resistance level 1.4008 steady, which with its breaking with good close above then the pair will rise targeting to reach the resistance level 1.4129 which represents 161.8% Fibonacci continuous level for the same mentioned downtrend.
Res: 1.4016 1.4063 1.4155
Pivot: 1.3924
Sup: 1.3877 1.3785 1.3738
GBP/ USD
The pair failed to achieve more gains while moving upside during the trades of the last week forming a reversal pattern (head and shoulders pattern) on the near-term trades, but it is necessary to break the neckline of the pattern at the support level 1.6240, it is expected after this breaking that the pair will decline targeting the support level 1.6180 as the first target of this declining which represents 50% Fibonacci correction level for the last bullish wave for the medium-term followed by the support level 1.6120.
The stability of these expectations requires the stability of the key resistance 1.6290.
Res: 1.6321 1.6366 1.6400
Pivot: 1.6287
SuP: 1.6242 1.6208 1.6163
USD/CHF
Through this chart it is noticed that the pair is forming a rectangle pattern that continues the direction after breaking one of its boarders, the resistance level 0.9325 represents the top boarder of the pattern and the area between the support level 0.9230 and the level 0.9201 represents the bottom boarder of the pattern, the pattern came within a downtrend so with breaking the bottom boarder, the pair will continue declining targeting the level 0.9105 which represents the target of this pattern in this bearish case, but if the pair succeeded to break the top boarder it will be a reflective pattern and will shift the direction of the pair into bullish direction targeting to reach the level 0.9420 which represents 38.2% Fibonacci's correction level for the downtrend (from 0.9774 to 0.9201).
Res: 0.9350 0.9385 0.9444
Pivot: 0.9291
Sup: 0.9256 0.9197 0.9162
USD/CAD
The pair is moving in a very narrow domain for the short-term trades and for the intraday levels whereas the pair is limited between the resistance level 0.9740 and the support level 0.9715 with the expectations on continuing these narrow trades during the intraday levels with tending the pair to rise, if the pair is able to break the resistance level 0.9740 with a good close above it therefore for the expected that the pair will target the resistance level 0.9766.
But in case of breaking the support level 0.9715 and the stability below it, the pair will target the support level 0.9682.
Res: 0.974 0.9763 0.9776
Pivot: 0.9727
Sup: 0.9704 0.9691 0.9668
AUD/USD
It's noticed in the chart that the pair is in process of forming a continuous pattern for the bullish direction which is the bullish flag pattern, forming this pattern came to confirm the ability of the pair on continuing forming the bullish direction for the medium-term, therefore it's expected during the next trades that the pair will break the top border for the flag which is expected to coincide at it the price with the resistance level 1.0152, breaking this area will push the pair to continue rising towards the targeted area for the pattern which is located between the level 1.0277 which represents 161.8% Fibonacci retracement correction level for the bearish direction ( from 1.0200 to 1.0075 ) and the level 1.0295, reaching this area; the resistance level 1.0200 also must be broken with a good close above it.
This expectation depends on the stability of the support level 1.0075.
Res: 1.0178 1.0213 1.0240
Pivot: 1.0151
Sup: 1.0116 1.0089 1.0054
EUR/USD
The European currency continued rising against the U.S. dollar whereas the pair hits fresh 3-month high by reaching the level 1.4008, this bullish move was formed through moving inside a bullish channel for the short and medium-term, the resistance area between the level 1.4008 and the level 1.3978 which represents 127% Fibonacci continuous level for the downtrend (from 1.3861 to 1.3428) coincides with the top boarder of the bullish channel to form a bullish top with the appearance of reflective candles that provides a probability of corrective bearish move during the upcoming trades targeting to re-test the support level 1.3861 but under the condition of holding the resistance level 1.4008 steady, which with its breaking with good close above then the pair will rise targeting to reach the resistance level 1.4129 which represents 161.8% Fibonacci continuous level for the same mentioned downtrend.
Res: 1.4016 1.4063 1.4155
Pivot: 1.3924
Sup: 1.3877 1.3785 1.3738
GBP/ USD
The pair failed to achieve more gains while moving upside during the trades of the last week forming a reversal pattern (head and shoulders pattern) on the near-term trades, but it is necessary to break the neckline of the pattern at the support level 1.6240, it is expected after this breaking that the pair will decline targeting the support level 1.6180 as the first target of this declining which represents 50% Fibonacci correction level for the last bullish wave for the medium-term followed by the support level 1.6120.
The stability of these expectations requires the stability of the key resistance 1.6290.
Res: 1.6321 1.6366 1.6400
Pivot: 1.6287
SuP: 1.6242 1.6208 1.6163
USD/CHF
Through this chart it is noticed that the pair is forming a rectangle pattern that continues the direction after breaking one of its boarders, the resistance level 0.9325 represents the top boarder of the pattern and the area between the support level 0.9230 and the level 0.9201 represents the bottom boarder of the pattern, the pattern came within a downtrend so with breaking the bottom boarder, the pair will continue declining targeting the level 0.9105 which represents the target of this pattern in this bearish case, but if the pair succeeded to break the top boarder it will be a reflective pattern and will shift the direction of the pair into bullish direction targeting to reach the level 0.9420 which represents 38.2% Fibonacci's correction level for the downtrend (from 0.9774 to 0.9201).
Res: 0.9350 0.9385 0.9444
Pivot: 0.9291
Sup: 0.9256 0.9197 0.9162
USD/CAD
The pair is moving in a very narrow domain for the short-term trades and for the intraday levels whereas the pair is limited between the resistance level 0.9740 and the support level 0.9715 with the expectations on continuing these narrow trades during the intraday levels with tending the pair to rise, if the pair is able to break the resistance level 0.9740 with a good close above it therefore for the expected that the pair will target the resistance level 0.9766.
But in case of breaking the support level 0.9715 and the stability below it, the pair will target the support level 0.9682.
Res: 0.974 0.9763 0.9776
Pivot: 0.9727
Sup: 0.9704 0.9691 0.9668
AUD/USD
It's noticed in the chart that the pair is in process of forming a continuous pattern for the bullish direction which is the bullish flag pattern, forming this pattern came to confirm the ability of the pair on continuing forming the bullish direction for the medium-term, therefore it's expected during the next trades that the pair will break the top border for the flag which is expected to coincide at it the price with the resistance level 1.0152, breaking this area will push the pair to continue rising towards the targeted area for the pattern which is located between the level 1.0277 which represents 161.8% Fibonacci retracement correction level for the bearish direction ( from 1.0200 to 1.0075 ) and the level 1.0295, reaching this area; the resistance level 1.0200 also must be broken with a good close above it.
This expectation depends on the stability of the support level 1.0075.
Res: 1.0178 1.0213 1.0240
Pivot: 1.0151
Sup: 1.0116 1.0089 1.0054