Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex

[Vlad RF]

USDJPY seeks direction as investors weigh risks

The USDJPY pair is consolidating around 149.75. The market is closely watching the trajectory of the US dollar. Find more details in our analysis for 2 April 2025.

USDJPY forecast: key trading points

• The USDJPY pair remains in consolidation
• The market avoids risk-taking while waiting for the first signals from the new round of US trade wars
• USDJPY forecast for 2 April 2025: 149.95

Fundamental analysis

The USDJPY rate is hovering around 149.75 on Wednesday. The Japanese yen continues to move sideways as the market stays in wait-and-see mode ahead of the new round of US President Donald Trump’s tariff wars.

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda has warned that US tariffs could significantly impact global trade and economic growth.

Earlier this week, data revealed a deterioration in Japanese business sentiment for Q1. This has raised concerns about the potential effects of US tariffs on Japan’s export-driven economy.

The baseline forecast expects the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates by the end of 2025. However, fears over global trade and domestic economic uncertainty still cloud the outlook.

The USDJPY forecast is neutral.

Read this article on RoboForex website - USDJPY Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

Friday chaos – Nonfarm Payrolls to shake up Gold (XAUUSD) again

A decline in US Nonfarm Payrolls may boost XAUUSD quotes towards 3,160 USD. Discover more in our analysis for 4 April 2025.

XAUUSD forecast: key trading points

• US Nonfarm Payrolls: previously at 151 thousand, projected at 137 thousand
• US unemployment rate: previously at 4.1%, projected at 4.1%
• Current trend: moving upwards
• XAUUSD forecast for 4 April 2025: 3,160 and 3,075

Fundamental analysis

According to the XAUUSD forecast for 4 April 2025, US Nonfarm Payrolls may decline to 137 thousand from the previous 151 thousand. If the actual figure aligns with expectations, the market may see heightened volatility and a temporary weakening of the US dollar.

The Nonfarm Payrolls release consistently generates strong market reactions and can either support the US dollar or make it lose ground.

Today’s XAUUSD analysis also considers that the US unemployment rate for March is expected to remain unchanged at 4.1%. The lack of changes from the previous period would be a neutral factor for the USD.

Read this article on RoboForex website - Gold Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

EURUSD remains in the eye of the storm: tariff fears dominate the market

The EURUSD rate is hovering around 1.0990 on Monday as market chaos continues. Discover more in our analysis for 7 April 2025.

EURUSD forecast: key trading points

• The EURUSD pair is moving more actively than usual
• Investors remain concerned about global trade tensions, although the White House maintains its stance
• EURUSD forecast for 7 April 2025: 1.1146

Fundamental analysis

The EURUSD pair is trading around 1.0990 on Monday.

Volatility remains above average. Investors are assessing the impact of Donald Trump’s tariff policy on inflation and economic growth. The global trade war is only escalating.

Despite the market panic, the White House stands firm on its decision to impose retaliatory tariffs. On Sunday, Trump compared the tariffs to medicine you have to take to fix something. Previously, China agreed on a 34% tariff on all US-made goods, which may prompt similar measures from other countries.

The unfolding tariff saga has intensified fears over US inflation and economic growth, complicating the Fed’s policy path. Markets are now pricing in a total of 100 basis points in rate cuts for 2025.

Read this article on RoboForex website - EURUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team