Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex

Vlad RF

Master Trader
Aug 5, 2019
903
2
59
44
USDJPY strengthens despite expectations of BoJ policy tightening

Although the USDJPY rate is undergoing a correction, the selling pressure remains. The price currently stands at 154.69. More details in our analysis for 31 January 2025.

Brent forecast: key trading points
  • Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino said further rate hikes are possible
  • Tokyo core inflation accelerated to 2.5% in January
  • US initial jobless claims decreased to 207 thousand
  • US economy grew by 2.3% year-on-year in Q4 2024
  • USDJPY forecast for 31 January 2025: 153.75 and 152.35
Fundamental analysis

The USDJPY rate is rising on Friday after rebounding from the 153.85 support level. Sellers’s attempts to strengthen the yen remain restrained despite growing expectations of a Bank of Japan interest rate hike. On Thursday, Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino reiterated that the BoJ is ready to continue tightening monetary policy if economic indicators and inflation align with forecasts.

Tokyo core inflation data confirmed the BoJ’s hawkish stance, with the rate accelerating to 2.5% in January, reaching an 11-month high. The Japanese economy received additional support from strong retail sales, recovering industrial production, and an unexpected decline in the unemployment rate.

At the same time, the US economy is sending mixed signals. Although initial jobless claims decreased by 16 thousand to 207 thousand, indicating a stable US labour market, economic growth rates in Q4 were lower than expected. The country’s GDP grew by 2.3% year-on-year, below the projected 2.6%.

US inflation continues to accelerate. The PCE price index, a key inflation gauge monitored by the Federal Reserve, rose by 2.3% from 1.5% in Q3. The core PCE price index, excluding volatile components such as energy and food prices, increased by 2.5% in Q4, aligning with analysts' forecasts.

Read this article on RoboForex website - USDJPY Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.


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The RoboForex Team