AUD/USD: Australian dollar shows corrective growth 04.07.2022
Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!
NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.
Current trend
The Australian dollar shows a weak corrective growth, recovering from a strong decline at the end of last week, when the US currency strengthened significantly amid growing fears that a possible recession in the US would have an extremely negative impact on the global economy.
Quotes of the trading instrument completely ignored the relatively optimistic macroeconomic statistics from Australia: S&P Global's Manufacturing PMI rose from 55.8 to 56.2 in June with a neutral outlook, while AiG's Manufacturing PMI rose from 52.4 to 54.0 points.
Investors are paying a lot more attention to Australian statistics today, in part because US markets are closed for Independence Day. Significant support for the instrument is provided by the Building Permits, which rose sharply in May by 9.9% after declining by 3.9% a month earlier, although analysts had expected a further decline in the indicator by 1.8%. In turn, Home Loans issued in May increased by 2.1% after falling by 7.3% a month earlier, with a projected decrease in value by 2.0%.
Tomorrow investors are waiting for the decision of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on the interest rate. Current forecasts suggest that the regulator will increase the value by 50 basis points to 1.35%, which, however, can only provide short-term support to the Australian dollar.
Support and resistance
Bollinger Bands in D1 chart demonstrate active decrease. The price range is expanding from below; however, it fails to catch the surge of the "bearish" sentiment at the moment. MACD is going down having formed a new sell signal (located below the signal line). Stochastic, having approached the level of "20", is trying to reverse in the direction of growth, reacting to corrective sentiments at the beginning of the week.
Resistance levels: 0.6849, 0.6900, 0.6950, 0.7000.
Support levels: 0.6800, 0.6750, 0.6700, 0.6650.
Trading tips
Long positions can be opened after a breakout of 0.6849 with the target of 0.6950. Stop-loss — 0.6800. Implementation time: 1-2 days.
A rebound from 0.6849 as from resistance, followed by a breakdown of 0.6800 may become a signal for opening of new short positions with the target at 0.6700. Stop-loss — 0.6849.
Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: weekly FOREX forecast
You can learn more about the current situation on AUD/USD and get acquainted with the weekly analytical forecast in the "Video reviews" section on the NPBFX portal. Weekly video reviews contain trends, key levels, trading recommendations for such popular instruments as GBP/USD, EUR/USD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY. In order to get free and unlimited access to video forecast and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.
If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.
Use the current recommendations of analysts on AUD/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!
NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.
Current trend
The Australian dollar shows a weak corrective growth, recovering from a strong decline at the end of last week, when the US currency strengthened significantly amid growing fears that a possible recession in the US would have an extremely negative impact on the global economy.
Quotes of the trading instrument completely ignored the relatively optimistic macroeconomic statistics from Australia: S&P Global's Manufacturing PMI rose from 55.8 to 56.2 in June with a neutral outlook, while AiG's Manufacturing PMI rose from 52.4 to 54.0 points.
Investors are paying a lot more attention to Australian statistics today, in part because US markets are closed for Independence Day. Significant support for the instrument is provided by the Building Permits, which rose sharply in May by 9.9% after declining by 3.9% a month earlier, although analysts had expected a further decline in the indicator by 1.8%. In turn, Home Loans issued in May increased by 2.1% after falling by 7.3% a month earlier, with a projected decrease in value by 2.0%.
Tomorrow investors are waiting for the decision of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on the interest rate. Current forecasts suggest that the regulator will increase the value by 50 basis points to 1.35%, which, however, can only provide short-term support to the Australian dollar.
Support and resistance
Bollinger Bands in D1 chart demonstrate active decrease. The price range is expanding from below; however, it fails to catch the surge of the "bearish" sentiment at the moment. MACD is going down having formed a new sell signal (located below the signal line). Stochastic, having approached the level of "20", is trying to reverse in the direction of growth, reacting to corrective sentiments at the beginning of the week.
Resistance levels: 0.6849, 0.6900, 0.6950, 0.7000.
Support levels: 0.6800, 0.6750, 0.6700, 0.6650.
Trading tips
Long positions can be opened after a breakout of 0.6849 with the target of 0.6950. Stop-loss — 0.6800. Implementation time: 1-2 days.
A rebound from 0.6849 as from resistance, followed by a breakdown of 0.6800 may become a signal for opening of new short positions with the target at 0.6700. Stop-loss — 0.6849.
Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: weekly FOREX forecast
You can learn more about the current situation on AUD/USD and get acquainted with the weekly analytical forecast in the "Video reviews" section on the NPBFX portal. Weekly video reviews contain trends, key levels, trading recommendations for such popular instruments as GBP/USD, EUR/USD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY. In order to get free and unlimited access to video forecast and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.
If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.
Use the current recommendations of analysts on AUD/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.