USD/CAD: flat trading dynamics 05.10.2022
Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!
NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/CAD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.
Current trend
The US dollar shows flat trading dynamics against the Canadian currency, consolidating near 1.3520. Quotes have been actively declining since the beginning of the current week, and in just two trading days the USD/CAD pair fell to the local lows of September 23.
The pressure on the position of the instrument is exerted by weak macroeconomic statistics, which allowed investors to revise their forecasts regarding the pace of further tightening of monetary policy by the US Federal Reserve. In particular, market participants drew attention to the rapid drop in the Manufacturing PMI from 52.8 points to 50.9 points, against a forecast of 52.2 points, according to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). The negative background intensified today, when a zero trend in the volume of manufacturing orders in the US was recorded in August after falling by 1.0% in the previous month, although analysts expected a value of 0.3%. JOLTS Job Openings in August also adjusted from 11.17 million to 10.053 million.
On Wednesday, the market will focus on Automatic Data Processing's (ADP) private sector employment report, as well as the Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) September data set on US service sector business activity. Canada will publish statistics on International Merchandise Trade for August.
Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem said that high inflation requires policymakers to take decisive action, so officials will continue to raise interest rates despite the fact that the regulator has faced public criticism for increasing the cost of borrowing at a time when many Canadians can hardly afford the goods of the first need. Officials have adjusted the interest rate by 300 basis points in just six months, trying to return inflation to the target level of 2.0%. It is worth noting the effectiveness of the measures taken: in September, the figure fell from 8.1% to 7.0%.
Support and resistance
On the daily chart, Bollinger Bands are growing moderately. The price range is narrowing, reflecting a sharp change of trend in the short term. MACD rushed down, keeping a strong sell signal. Stochastic shows a steady decline, but is currently in close proximity to the zero level, which reflects the risks of oversold US dollar in the ultra-short term.
Resistance levels: 1.3600, 1.3650, 1.3700, 1.3750.
Support levels: 1.3500, 1.3440, 1.3400, 1.3350.
Trading tips
Short positions may be opened after a breakdown of 1.3500 with the target at 1.3350. Stop-loss — 1.3570. Implementation time: 2-3 days.
A rebound from 1.3500 as from support followed by a breakout of 1.3600 may become a signal for opening new long positions with the target at 1.3750. Stop-loss — 1.3520.
Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: weekly FOREX forecast
You can learn more about the current situation on Apple Inc. and get acquainted with the weekly analytical forecast in the "Video reviews" section on the NPBFX portal. Weekly video reviews contain trends, key levels, trading recommendations for such popular instruments as GBP/USD, EUR/USD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY. In order to get free and unlimited access to video forecast and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.
If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.
Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/CAD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!
NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/CAD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.
Current trend
The US dollar shows flat trading dynamics against the Canadian currency, consolidating near 1.3520. Quotes have been actively declining since the beginning of the current week, and in just two trading days the USD/CAD pair fell to the local lows of September 23.
The pressure on the position of the instrument is exerted by weak macroeconomic statistics, which allowed investors to revise their forecasts regarding the pace of further tightening of monetary policy by the US Federal Reserve. In particular, market participants drew attention to the rapid drop in the Manufacturing PMI from 52.8 points to 50.9 points, against a forecast of 52.2 points, according to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). The negative background intensified today, when a zero trend in the volume of manufacturing orders in the US was recorded in August after falling by 1.0% in the previous month, although analysts expected a value of 0.3%. JOLTS Job Openings in August also adjusted from 11.17 million to 10.053 million.
On Wednesday, the market will focus on Automatic Data Processing's (ADP) private sector employment report, as well as the Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) September data set on US service sector business activity. Canada will publish statistics on International Merchandise Trade for August.
Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem said that high inflation requires policymakers to take decisive action, so officials will continue to raise interest rates despite the fact that the regulator has faced public criticism for increasing the cost of borrowing at a time when many Canadians can hardly afford the goods of the first need. Officials have adjusted the interest rate by 300 basis points in just six months, trying to return inflation to the target level of 2.0%. It is worth noting the effectiveness of the measures taken: in September, the figure fell from 8.1% to 7.0%.
Support and resistance
On the daily chart, Bollinger Bands are growing moderately. The price range is narrowing, reflecting a sharp change of trend in the short term. MACD rushed down, keeping a strong sell signal. Stochastic shows a steady decline, but is currently in close proximity to the zero level, which reflects the risks of oversold US dollar in the ultra-short term.
Resistance levels: 1.3600, 1.3650, 1.3700, 1.3750.
Support levels: 1.3500, 1.3440, 1.3400, 1.3350.
Trading tips
Short positions may be opened after a breakdown of 1.3500 with the target at 1.3350. Stop-loss — 1.3570. Implementation time: 2-3 days.
A rebound from 1.3500 as from support followed by a breakout of 1.3600 may become a signal for opening new long positions with the target at 1.3750. Stop-loss — 1.3520.
Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: weekly FOREX forecast
You can learn more about the current situation on Apple Inc. and get acquainted with the weekly analytical forecast in the "Video reviews" section on the NPBFX portal. Weekly video reviews contain trends, key levels, trading recommendations for such popular instruments as GBP/USD, EUR/USD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY. In order to get free and unlimited access to video forecast and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.
If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.
Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/CAD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.