Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

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USD/JPY Analysis: The Market is Indecisive Near Its Peak Since May 1

As the USD/JPY chart shows today:

→ The price is in an upward trend (indicated by the blue channel) that has been relevant since the beginning of 2024.

→ On Thursday, May 23, the exchange rate nearly reached 157.2 yen per US dollar, surpassing the peak of May 14.

→ Following this, the market began to stabilise – indicated by the Bollinger Bands' width showing low volatility, which can be interpreted as a sign of market equilibrium or indecision among participants.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Post automatically merged: May 27, 2024

Can Last Week's Gold Price Rally Be Replicated?

Gold holds a particularly exceptional status among precious metals. Whilst it does have some use in the manufacturing of consumer durables and electronic products ranging from alloy compounds in wedding rings to terminals for connecting electrical cables in audio equipment, its greatest use case is as an investment vehicle for the purposes of storing value in a physical commodity.

Over recent years, other precious metals such as platinum and cobalt have suddenly seen their status change from that of a rare mineral resource to a material in high demand as they form components used in electric vehicle batteries and other renewable energy-related hardware such as solar panels.

However, despite the sudden huge demand for these materials for industrial purposes, gold still remains a de facto investable metal whose price movements are often affected by global affairs rather than supply and demand.

In the latter part of this month, gold reached a record high, according to World Gold Council data, and was trading at $2427.30 on May 21.

That soon took an opposite turn, and by May 26, FXOpen pricing showed gold to be trading at well under the $2,400 mark.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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The Price of Silver Is Acting Weaker Than Gold

According to Reuters, precious metal prices have risen in the past 1-2 days as Treasury yields have fallen, enhancing metals' appeal as a "safe haven" for investor portfolios.

Currently:
→ Expectations are growing that US interest rate cuts may begin as early as September;
→ Market participants are focusing on non-farm employment data and other US market data, set to be released on Friday at 15:30 GMT+3.

In this context, it is notable that the gold market is clearly stronger than silver.

The XAU/USD chart shows that the price of gold today rose above $2370 per ounce, a high not seen since 23 May, more than 10 days ago.

Meanwhile, the price of silver experienced a decline of over 8% from 29 May to 4 June. Today’s rise appears to be an attempt by bulls to offset this bearish momentum, during which the price of gold remained stable.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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The Dollar Continues Range-bound Trading Ahead of US Employment Data

Despite a busy start to the current five-day period, major currency pairs remain near previously reached extremes. Here’s what happened in recent trading sessions:

• The US ISM manufacturing PMI data was released (worse than expected: 48.7 vs. 49.8)
• The ADP employment report was released (worse than expected: 152K vs. 173K)
• The Bank of Canada meeting resulted in a 0.25% cut in the base interest rate to 4.75%

USD/CAD

According to the technical analysis of the USD/CAD pair on the daily timeframe, range-bound trading between 1.3740-1.3590 prevails. The price has remained within this corridor for over four weeks, making it difficult to predict the future direction without a decisive breakout. Currently, a bounce from the upper boundary is observed, and with an appropriate news impulse, a retest of 1.3610-1.3590 can be expected. Key upcoming events to watch:

• Today at 15:30 (GMT +3:00): Initial jobless claims in the US
• Tomorrow at 15:30 (GMT +3:00): Change in non-farm payrolls in the US (forecast: 185K)
• Tomorrow at 15:30 (GMT +3:00): Change in full employment in Canada

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Post automatically merged: Jun 6, 2024

USD/CAD Analysis: Bank of Canada Cuts Interest Rate by 0.25%

This occurred yesterday and was in line with analysts' forecasts, according to a Bloomberg survey.

According to statements from the Bank of Canada:
→ Price growth indicators for consumer price index components have further decreased and are close to their historical average;
→ Recent data has increased confidence that inflation will continue moving towards the 2% target;
→ Monetary policy no longer needs to be as restrictive.

At the press conference, Governor Tiff Macklem stated that there is “compelling evidence” of weakening inflation and it is “reasonable to expect” further rate cuts if inflation continues to slow.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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EURUSD Technical Analysis – 06th JUNE, 2024

EURUSD – Bearish Price Crossover pattern

EURUSD was unable to sustain its bullish momentum and after touching a low of 1.0895 started its bearish correction phase coming down below the 1.0880 handle today in the European Trading session.
We can see the formation of Bearish Price Crossover pattern with the Moving Average MA20 and MA50 in the 1-hourly timeframe.
The prices of Euro are ranging near the resistance of the channel in the 1-hourly timeframe indicating the bearish nature of the markets.

We can also see the formation of Doji which is indicative of the Neutral stance present in the markets.
The RSI Indicator is back under 50 in the 1-hourly timeframe indicating the Bearish Trend.

EURUSD is now trading above its 100-hour SMA and 200-hour SMA simple moving averages.
• Euro Bearish Reversal seen Below the 1.0895 mark.
• Short-term range appears to be Mild Bearish.
• EURUSD continues to remain Below the 1.0880 levels.
• Average true range ATR is indicating less market volatility.

The next Support is located at 1.0873 which is a 3-10 Day MACD Oscillator Stalls.

EURUSD is now trading below its Pivot levels of 1.0879 and is moving into a Mild bearish channel. The price of EURUSD remains below its Classic resistance levels of 1.0883 and is moving towards its next target of 1.0862 which is a 50% Retracement From 52 Week High/Low.

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check FXOpen Blog

 

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GBPUSD Technical Analysis – 06th JUNE, 2024

GBPUSD – Bearish Trend Reversal

GBPUSD was unable to sustain its bullish momentum and after touching a high of 1.2808, the prices started correcting downwards crossing the 1.2780 handle today in the European Trading session.
We have detected the formation of Bearish Trend Reversal pattern with the Adaptive Moving Average AMA50 in the 1-hourly timeframe.
The MACD crosses DOWN its Moving Average in the 2-hourly timeframe indicative of the Bearish Trends.

The price of GBPUSD is back under the Pivot point in the 4-hourly timeframe which indicates the bearish pressure present into the markets.
The prices are ranging near the resistance of the channel in the daily timeframe indicating the Bearish Trends.

GBPUSD is now trading above its 100-hour SMA and above its 200-hour SMA simple moving average.
• Pound Bearish Reversal seen below the 1.2808 mark.
• Short-term range appears to be Mild Bearish.
• GBPUSD continues to remain Below the 1.2780 levels.
• Average true range ATR is indicating less market volatility.

GBPUSD is now trading just below its Pivot levels of 1.2782 and is moving into a Strongly Bearish channel.
The price of GBPUSD is aiming to cross its Classic support levels of 1.2765 which is a 14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 70%.

We are also looking for the breach of the levels of 1.2758 in the immediate short term at which the Price Crosses 9 Day Moving Average.

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check FXOpen Blog

 

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AUDUSD Technical Analysis – 06th JUNE, 2024

AUDUSD – Bearish Price Crossover pattern

AUDUSD was unable to sustain its bullish momentum and after touching a low of 0.6682 started its bearish correction phase coming down below the 0.6650 handle today in the European Trading session.
We can see the formation of Bearish Price Crossover pattern with the Moving Average MA100 in the 2-hourly timeframe.
The prices of AUDUSD are ranging near the resistance of the channel in the daily timeframe indicating the bearish nature of the markets.

The MACD crosses DOWN its Moving Average in the 2-hourly timeframe indicating the Bearish Trends.
The Super Trend Indicator is giving a Bearish Signal in the 1-hourly timeframe.

AUDUSD is now trading below its 100-hour SMA and 200-hour SMA simple moving averages.
• AUDUSD Bearish Reversal seen Below the 0.6682 mark.
• Short-term range appears to be Mild Bearish.
• AUDUSD continues to remain Below the 0.6650 levels.
• Average true range ATR is indicating less market volatility.

The next Support is located at 0.6636 which is a 50% Retracement From 4 Week High/Low.

AUDUSD is now trading below its Pivot levels of 0.6649 and is moving into a Mild bearish channel. The price of AUDUSD remains below its Classic resistance levels of 0.6652 and is moving towards its next target of 0.6627 at which the Price Crosses 9 Day Moving Average Stalls.

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check FXOpen Blog

Post automatically merged: Jun 6, 2024

NZDUSD Technical Analysis – 06th JUNE, 2024

NZDUSD – Bearish Trend Reversal

NZDUSD was unable to sustain its bullish momentum and after touching a low of 0.6214 started its bearish correction phase coming down below the 0.6190 handle today in the European Trading session.
We can see the formation of Bearish Trend Reversal pattern with the Adaptive Moving Average AMA100 in the 1-hourly timeframe.

The prices of NZDUSD are ranging near the resistance of the channel in the weekly timeframe indicating the bearish nature of the markets.
We can also see that the MACD crosses DOWN its Moving Average in the 4-hourly timeframe.
The RSI Indicator is back under 50 in the 2-hourly timeframe indicating the Bearish Trend.

NZDUSD is now trading above its 100-hour SMA and 200-hour SMA simple moving averages.
• NZDUSD Bearish Reversal seen Below the 0.6214 mark.
• Short-term range appears to be Mild Bearish.
• NZDUSD continues to remain Below the 0.6190 levels.
• Average true range ATR is indicating less market volatility.

The next Support is located at 0.6175 which is a 14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 80%.

NZDUSD is now trading below its Pivot levels of 0.6186 and is moving into a Mild bearish channel. The price of NZDUSD remains below its Classic resistance levels of 0.6189 and is moving towards its next target of 0.6153 at which the Price Crosses 9 Day Moving Average.

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check FXOpen Blog

 

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Market Analysis: Gold Price Gains Traction, Crude Oil Price Rises

Gold price started a fresh increase above $2,350. Crude oil is recovering and might rise toward the $78.40 resistance zone.

Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil Prices Analysis Today

• Gold price started a decent increase from the $2,315 zone against the US Dollar.
• A major bullish trend line is forming with support at $2,368 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
• Crude oil is recovering losses and trading above the $74.30 support.
• There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance near $73.50 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price formed support near the $2,315 zone. The price remained in a bullish zone and started a fresh increase above $2,340.

The bulls even pushed the price above the $2,350 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it traded as high as $2,385. The price is now consolidating gains near the $2,385 zone and the RSI is above 70.

Initial support on the downside is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2,315 swing low to the $2,38 high at $2,368. There is also a major bullish trend line forming with support at $2,368.

The first major support is near the $2,350 zone and the 50-hour simple moving average. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2,315 swing low to the $2,38 high. If there is a downside break below the $2,350 support, the price might decline further.

In the stated case, the price might drop toward the $2,342 support. Immediate resistance is near the $2,385 level. The next major resistance is near the $2,392 level. An upside break above the $2,392 resistance could send Gold price toward $2,400. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $2,420 level.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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EUR/USD Analysis: ECB Cuts Interest Rate for First Time Since 2019

By its decision, the ECB followed the example of the Bank of Canada, which lowered interest rates by 0.25%, as we reported yesterday. Consequently, this trend might continue with the Federal Reserve, marking the development of easing monetary policy cycles in Western economies.

According to ForexFactory:
→ the interest rate had been at 4.50% since September 2023;
→ it was reduced to 4.25%;
→ the reduction was accurately predicted by experts.

According to CNBC:
→ the ECB forecasts inflation at 2.5% in 2024 and 2.2% in 2025;
→"Based on an updated assessment of the inflation outlook, the dynamics of underlying inflation and the strength of monetary policy transmission, it is now appropriate to moderate the degree of monetary policy restriction after nine months of holding rates steady," stated the ECB Governing Council.

Given that the rate cut was anticipated, the EUR/USD rate hasn't changed significantly today, despite a noticeable spike in volatility.

Analysing the EUR/USD chart on 30 May, we highlighted the importance of the 1.08 level.

Since then, the bulls have shown the ability to bounce off this level and rise to 1.09.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Analytical NVIDIA Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025 – 2030, and Beyond

NVIDIA's stock has seen remarkable growth, driven by advancements in AI, data centres, and emerging technologies. This article provides a comprehensive analysis of NVIDIA’s stock outlook for 2024, 2025, and the next decade. Join us as we explore detailed insights into the company’s financial performance, strategic initiatives, and potential in new markets like autonomous driving and the Internet of Things (IoT).

NVIDIA’s Recent Price History

NVIDIA Corporation, founded in 1993, went public in 1999 with an initial share price of $12. Note that, adjusted for the multiple splits NVDA has undergone, this is equivalent to $0.4375—we’ll refer to the split-adjusted price from here.

The company quickly made a name for itself in the graphics processing unit (GPU) market, and its stock saw steady growth through the early 2000s.

Early 2000s to 2015: Building the Foundation

Throughout the 2000s, NVIDIA expanded its product line, targeting both gaming and professional markets. Significant milestones included the release of the GeForce 256 in 1999, often considered the world's first GPU.

The company's stock price rallied in the dot-com bubble, cresting $6 in 2001. After sinking to a low of $0.60 in 2002, NVDA began a long uptrend, peaking at $9.92 in 2007, just before the 2008 financial crisis sent it plummeting back to $1.44. Continuing to expand its presence in the GPU arena over the years, NVIDIA’s stock rebounded, closing 2015 at $8.24.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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EURUSD Technical Analysis – 07th JUNE, 2024

EURUSD – Bearish Price Crossover Pattern

EURUSD was unable to sustain its bullish momentum and after touching a high of 1.0901 the prices started declining against the United States Dollar.
We can see the formation of Bearish Price Crossover pattern with the Adaptive Moving Average AMA20 and AMA50 in the 30-minutes timeframe.
The CCI Indicator is giving a Bearish Divergence signal in the 15-minutes timeframe.
The MACD crosses DOWN its Moving Average in the 30-minutes timeframe.

The Ichimoku price is under the cloud in the 30-minutes timeframe which is indicative of the Bearish Tendencies present into the markets.
We can also see the formation of a Long Black Line in the 30-minutes timeframe which is a Bearish formation.
The Super Trend indicator is also giving a bearish reversal signal in the 1-hourly timeframe.

EURUSD is now trading below its 100-hour SMA and 200-hour SMA simple moving averages.
• Euro Bearish Reversal seen Below the 1.0901 mark.
• Short-term range appears to be Strongly Bearish.
• EURUSD continues to remain below the 1.0840 levels.
• Average true range ATR is indicating high market volatility.

The next support is located at 1.0828 which is a 14 Day RSI at 50%.
EURUSD is now trading below its Pivot levels of 1.0896 and is moving into a Strongly Bearish channel.

The price of EURUSD remains below its Classic support levels of 1.0875 and is moving towards its next target of 1.0826 which is a 14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 30%.

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check FXOpen Blog

 

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GBPUSD Technical Analysis – 07th JUNE, 2024

GBPUSD – Bearish Price Crossover Pattern

GBPUSD was unable to sustain its bullish momentum and after touching a high of 1.2811, the prices started correcting downwards crossing the 1.2725 handle today in the European Trading session.
We have detected the formation of Bearish price crossover pattern with the Adaptive Moving Average AMA 20, AMA50 and AMA100 in the 30-minutes timeframe.
The MACD crosses DOWN its Moving Average in the 30-minutes timeframe indicative of the Bearish Trends.

Both the Parabolic SAR indicator and RSI indicator are giving a bearish reversal signal in the 30-minutes timeframe.
We can also see the Ichimoku price is under the cloud in the 30-minutes timeframe.

GBPUSD is now trading below its 100-hour SMA and above its 200-hour SMA simple moving average.
• Pound Bearish Reversal seen below the 1.2811 mark.
• Short-term range appears to be Strongly Bearish.
• GBPUSD continues to remain Below the 1.2730 levels.
• Average true range ATR is indicating high market volatility.

GBPUSD is now trading below its Pivot levels of 1.2761 and is moving into a Strongly Bearish channel.
The price of GBPUSD is aiming to cross its Classic support levels of 1.2704 with further progression towards the 1.2702 which is a 3-10-16 Day MACD Moving Average Stalls.
We are also looking for the breach of the levels of 1.2686 which is a 14 Day RSI at 50%.

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check FXOpen Blog

 

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AUDUSD Technical Analysis – 07th JUNE, 2024

AUDUSD – Bearish Trend Reversal

AUDUSD was unable to sustain its bullish momentum and after touching a high of 0.6680 started its bearish correction phase coming down below the 0.6600 handle today in the European Trading session.
We can see the formation of Bearish Trend Reversal pattern with the Moving Average MA20, MA50 and MA100 in the 1-hourly timeframe.
The Parabolic SAR indicator is giving a bearish reversal signal in the 2-hourly timeframe.

We can also see the formation of Long Black line which is indicative of the bearish tendencies present in the markets.
The MACD crosses DOWN its Moving Average in the 4-hourly timeframe indicating the Bearish Trends.
The Super Trend Indicator is giving a Bearish Signal in the 4-hourly timeframe.

AUDUSD is now trading below its 100-hour SMA and 200-hour SMA simple moving averages.
• AUDUSD Bearish Reversal seen Below the 0.6680 mark.
• Short-term range appears to be Strongly Bearish.
• AUDUSD continues to remain Below the 0.6600 levels.
• Average true range ATR is indicating high market volatility.

The next Support is located at 0.6585 which is a 50% Retracement From 52 Week High/Low.
AUDUSD is now trading below its Pivot levels of 0.6628 and is moving into a Strong bearish channel. The price of AUDUSD remains above its Classic resistance levels of 0.6585 and is moving towards its next target of 0.6582 at which the Price Crosses 40 Day Moving Average.

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check FXOpen Blog

 

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NZDUSD Technical Analysis – 07th JUNE, 2024

NZDUSD – Moving Average Bearish Crossovers

NZDUSD was unable to sustain its bullish momentum and after touching a high of 0.6202 started its bearish correction phase coming down below the 0.6130 handle today in the European Trading session.
We can see the formation of Moving Average Bearish Crossovers pattern with the MA20 and MA50 in the 1-hourly timeframe.
The Aroon indicator is giving bearish trend signal in the 2-hourly timeframe.

The Ichimoku price is under the cloud in the 2-hourly timeframe indicating the bearish trends.
The Super Trend indicator is also giving bearish reversal signal in the 2-hourly timeframe.

NZDUSD is now trading below its 100-hour SMA and 200-hour SMA simple moving averages.
• NZDUSD Bearish Reversal seen Below the 0.6202 mark.
• Short-term range appears to be Strongly Bearish.
• NZDUSD continues to remain Below the 0.6130 levels.
• Average true range ATR is indicating high market volatility.

The next Support is located at 0.6109 which is a 14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 20%.
NZDUSD is now trading below its Pivot levels of 0.6159 and is moving into a Strongly bearish channel. The price of NZDUSD remains above its Classic resistance levels of 0.6117 and is moving towards its next target of 0.6101 which is a 14 Day RSI at 50%.

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check FXOpen Blog

 

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Watch FXOpen's 3 - 7 June Weekly Market Wrap Video

Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: S&P 500, US Dollar, Gold and Silver, MSFT Shares

Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights.

• S&P 500 Index: Latest Analysts’ Forecasts
• The Dollar Continues Range-Bound Trading Ahead of US Employment Data
• The Price of Silver Is Acting Weaker Than Gold
• MSFT Shares Surge on Record Yearly Volumes

Stay in the know and empower yourself with our short, yet power-packed video.

Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen.

Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.



FXOpen YouTube


Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

#fxopen #fxopenyoutube #fxopenint #weeklyvideo

 

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EUR/GBP Rate at 21-Month Low Post-European Parliament Elections

Investors will begin the week in a state of uncertainty regarding the outlook of Europe's political landscape.

The four-day European Parliament elections concluded on Sunday. According to Reuters, the results showed a significant gain for eurosceptic-nationalists, who have displaced liberals and greens.

Additionally, President Emmanuel Macron dissolved the French Parliament, calling for early legislative elections later this month after losing to Marine Le Pen's far-right party in the European Union elections.

All this puts pressure on the structure of the European Union, weakening the euro's value.

As shown by the EUR/GBP chart, trading on the currency markets opened on Monday around the 0.8465 level—a price not seen since August 2022.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Gold Price Drops After US Employment Report

As per ForexFactory, the Non-Farm Employment Change report revealed an actual increase of 272 thousand jobs (expected = 182k, previous value = 165k).

A robust job market provides further arguments for the Federal Reserve to continue its tight monetary policy. Consequently, the news led to a rise in the dollar index and a decrease in assets denominated in US dollars:
→ Currencies depreciated; for instance, the NZD/USD rate decreased by approximately 1.5%;
→ Cryptocurrencies declined; Bitcoin dropped by roughly 3%;
→ Gold also decreased in price.

The situation worsens for the gold price with the news that China has stopped buying the metal for reserves after doing so for 18 months. According to ING, China's appetite showed signs of weakening in April when the central bank purchased only 60,000 ounces compared to 160,000 ounces in March.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Goldman Sachs Predicts a Rise in Brent Crude Oil Prices

According to CNBC, Goldman Sachs analysts believe that Brent crude oil prices should increase in the third quarter due to summer fuel demand leading to a “significant” deficit—approximately 1.3 million barrels per day. They forecast that the price of Brent could rise to $86 per barrel with a “ceiling” around $90.

This implies an approximate +7% increase from current levels and a continued rise from the low set on 4 June. How realistic is this?

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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AAPL Shares Drop Following the Apple Intelligence Presentation

Yesterday, 10 June, at the WWDC2024 conference, the American corporation Apple unveiled its new artificial intelligence system, Apple Intelligence (AI).

Apple Intelligence will allow users to enhance their text and communicate more effectively: rewriting, proofreading, and summarising text almost everywhere, including in mail, notes, pages, and third-party applications. The Rewrite function will enable changing the tone of messages, adding jokes, and rephrasing sentences.

Key features include:
→ AI's capability to understand the user's "personal context."
→ AI's ability to generate unique photos, sketches, and illustrations in Notes, Freeform, and Pages.
→ Apple confirmed its collaboration with OpenAI during the presentation.

However, on the same day, AAPL shares fell nearly 2%, with high trading volumes on the Nasdaq—over 97 million shares were traded, compared to an average volume of about 59 million.

Is this a sign that investors were disappointed with the presentation? Looking at AAPL’s stock chart today, it suggests that the decline might be due to the significant $195 level per AAPL share.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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EURUSD Technical Analysis – 11th JUNE, 2024

EURUSD – Bearish Price Crossover Pattern

EURUSD continues its bearish momentum from last week after failing to clear the resistance of 1.0780 the prices of Euro continue to decline against the United States Dollar.
We can see the formation of Bearish Price Crossover pattern with the Adaptive Moving Average AMA20 and AMA100 in the weekly timeframe.
The Parabolic SAR indicator is giving a bearish reversal signal in the 2-hourly timeframe.
The Ichimoku price is under the cloud in the 15-minutes timeframe indicating the bearish trends.

The support of the channel is also broken in the 15-minutes timeframe.
The prices of EURUSD are back under the Pivot point in the 2-hourly timeframe indicative of the bearish trends present in the markets.
We can also see the formation of a Downside GAP in the weekly timeframe which also suggests the continuation of the selling pressure in the markets.

EURUSD is now trading below its 100-hour SMA and 200-hour SMA simple moving averages.
• Euro Bearish Continuation seen Below the 1.0780 mark.
• Short-term range appears to be Mildly Bearish.
• EURUSD continues to remain below the 1.0800 levels.
• Average true range ATR is indicating less market volatility.

The next support is located at 1.0739 which is a 38.2% Retracement From 13 Week Low.
EURUSD is now trading below its Pivot levels of 1.0751 and is moving into a Mild Bearish channel.

The price of EURUSD remains above its Classic support levels of 1.0715 and is moving towards its next target of 1.0736 which is a 3-10 Day MACD Oscillator Stalls.

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check FXOpen Blog

Post automatically merged: Jun 11, 2024

GBPUSD Technical Analysis – 11th JUNE, 2024

GBPUSD – Near Resistance of Channel

GBPUSD continues its bearish momentum from last week after failing to clear the resistance located at 1.2750 as the prices continue to decline against the United States Dollar.
The prices of GBPUSD are near the resistance of channel in the 1-hourly timeframe indicating the bearish trends present in the markets.
We can see the formation of Bearish Trend Reversal pattern with the Adaptive Moving Average AMA20 in the 2-hourly timeframe.

Some of the technical indicators are also giving a bullish stance which means that prices may be due for a short-term upwards correction.
The prices of GBPUSD are ranging near a new record low of 1-months.

GBPUSD is now trading below its 100-hour SMA and above its 200-hour SMA simple moving average.
• Pound Bearish Continuation seen below the 1.2737 mark.
• Short-term range appears to be Mild Bearish.
• GBPUSD continues to remain Below the 1.2750 levels.
• Average true range ATR is indicating less market volatility.

GBPUSD is now trading above its Pivot levels of 1.2726 and is moving into a Mild Bearish channel.
The price of GBPUSD is aiming to cross its Classic support levels of 1.2720 with further progression towards the 1.2718 which is a 14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 30%.

We are also looking for the breach of the levels of 1.2700 at which the Price Crosses 9 Day Moving Average Stalls.

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check FXOpen Blog

 

[Resolve]

AUDUSD Technical Analysis – 11th JUNE, 2024

AUDUSD – Near Resistance of Triangle

AUDUSD continues its bearish momentum from last week after failing to clear the resistance levels located at 0.6620 as we can see a continuous decline in its levels today in the European Trading session.
The prices of NZDUSD are ranging near the resistance of triangle in the weekly timeframe which indicates the bearish trends present in the markets.
The prices are back under the Pivot point in both the 4-hourly and daily timeframe indicating the bearish tendencies.

We can see the formation of Bearish price crossover pattern with the Adaptive Moving Average AMA20 in the 2-hourly timeframe.
The MACD crosses DOWN its Moving Average in the 1-hourly timeframe indicating the Bearish Trends.
The Momentum indicator is back under Zero in the 30-minutes timeframe.

AUDUSD is now trading below its 100-hour SMA and 200-hour SMA simple moving averages.
• AUDUSD Bearish Continuation seen Below the 0.6612 mark.
• Short-term range appears to be Mild Bearish.
• AUDUSD continues to remain Below the 0.6600 levels.
• Average true range ATR is indicating less market volatility.

The next Support is located at 0.6585 which is a 50% Retracement From 52 Week High/Low.
AUDUSD is now trading below its Pivot levels of 0.6597 and is moving into a Mild bearish channel.

The price of AUDUSD remains below its Classic resistance levels of 0.6601 and is moving towards its next target of 0.6579 which is a 38.2% Retracement From 13 Week High.

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check FXOpen Blog

Post automatically merged: Jun 11, 2024

NZDUSD Technical Analysis – 11th JUNE, 2024

NZDUSD – Aroon Indicator Bearish Trend

NZDUSD continues its bearish momentum from last week after failing to clear the resistance located at 0.6140 as the prices continue to decline against the United States Dollar.
The prices of NZDUSD are ranging near the resistance of the triangle in the weekly timeframe indicating the bearish trends.

The Aroon indicator is giving bearish trend signal in the 15-minutes timeframe.
The prices are also ranging near a new record low of 1-months in the weekly timeframe.
Some of the technical indicators are also giving a Bullish trend signal which indicates that the prices may be due for upwards correction in the immediate short term.

NZDUSD is now trading below its 100-hour SMA and 200-hour SMA simple moving averages.
• NZDUSD Bearish Continuation seen Below the 0.6132 mark.
• Short-term range appears to be Mild Bearish.
• NZDUSD continues to remain Below the 0.6130 levels.
• Average true range ATR is indicating less market volatility.

The next Support is located at 0.6122 which is a 14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 30%.
NZDUSD is now trading just near to its Pivot levels of 0.6126 and is moving into a Mild bearish channel.

The price of NZDUSD remains below its Classic resistance levels of 0.6130 and is moving towards its next target of 0.6115 at which the Price Crosses 9 Day Moving Average Stalls.

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check FXOpen Blog