Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

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Market Analysis: EUR/USD Jumps, USD/JPY Bulls Seem Unstoppable

EUR/USD is climbing higher above the 1.0800 level. USD/JPY surged above the 160.00 and 161.40 resistance levels.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY Analysis Today

• The Euro started a decent increase above the 1.0780 pivot level.
• There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.0820 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
• USD/JPY climbed higher above the 160.50 and 161.40 levels.
• There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support near 161.55 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.0710 zone. The Euro cleared a few key hurdles near 1.0780 to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.

The pair settled above the 1.0800 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. A high was formed at 1.0845 and the pair is now consolidating gains. There was a test of the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0710 swing low to the 1.0845 high.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Markets Awaiting US Inflation Data: What is the Probability of Trend Reversals?

The major currency pairs are in a holding pattern following the release of the latest US labour market data and Jerome Powell's testimony before Congress. The Fed Chair noted that the Federal Reserve has made "significant progress" in its mission to combat inflation, but emphasized the need for "more good data" before lowering interest rates. Judging by the movements of the major currency pairs, the market appears sceptical of the Fed Chair's statements:

• The AUD/USD pair has refreshed the May highs of the current year and strengthened above 0.6700.
• The USD/CAD pair is trading near strategic support at 1.3610.
• The GBP/USD pair is approaching the March highs near 1.2900.

As we can see, the US dollar is slowly but surely losing ground in many directions, but by the end of the week, existing trends could either slow down or change direction dramatically.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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GBP/USD Hits Four-Month High Following GDP Growth News

day, the UK Office for National Statistics published data showing an increase in GDP.

According to Forex Factory:

→ A month ago, GDP was at 0.0% month-on-month;

→ This month, analysts had forecasted growth of 0.2%;

→ Actual growth reached 0.4%.

This news should be welcomed by the Labour Party, which has come into power with ambitious plans for economic development.

On the other hand, how will the Bank of England respond? The GDP growth might provide an argument for maintaining high interest rates for a longer period to ensure that fears of a new inflationary surge do not materialise.

As Bloomberg reports, markets currently assess the likelihood of a rate cut at the next Bank of England meeting on 1 August at just under 50%.

Financial markets reacted with a rise in the sterling's value against other currencies. The GBP/USD rate is at its highest level since early March.
Will the Growth Continue?

The GBP/USD chart shows that the price is in a rally, having risen by 1.7% since the beginning of July.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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PepsiCo Stock Rebounds from Yearly Low Ahead of Earnings Report

The PepsiCo stock chart indicates:

→ Yesterday, the price dropped below $161, setting a new low for 2024.

→ However, by the end of the trading day, the price rose above $163.3, closing near the day's high.

This bullish intraday behaviour might suggest positive sentiment emerging ahead of today's earnings report.

According to Dow Jones Newswires:

→ PepsiCo's management anticipates organic revenue growth of 4% and an 8% increase in earnings per share in 2024.

→ The consensus among analysts tracked by FactSet is a 3% rise in sales and a 7% increase in earnings.

PepsiCo's stock has fallen by 9% over the past two months. Investors are concerned that demand might suffer due to rising prices from inflation and the growing popularity of weight-loss drugs, which could curb people's cravings for snacks and sugary drinks.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Market Analysis: GBP/USD Eyes 1.3000 While EUR/GBP Struggles

GBP/USD is gaining pace above the 1.2900 resistance. EUR/GBP declined and is now consolidating losses above the 0.8400 region.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP Analysis Today

• The British Pound is attempting a fresh increase above 1.2950.
• There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.2910 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
• EUR/GBP is trading in a bearish zone below the 0.8440 pivot level.
• There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance near 0.8425 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair remained well-bid above the 1.2750 level. The British Pound started a decent increase above the 1.2850 zone against the US Dollar.

The bulls were able to push the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.2900. The pair even climbed above 1.2925 and traded as high as 1.2949. Recently, there was a minor decline below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.2775 swing low to the 1.2949 high, but the bulls were active above 1.29700.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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The Nasdaq 100 Index Fell Despite Positive Inflation News

Yesterday, Consumer Price Index (CPI) values were published, indicating a slowdown in the rate of inflation in the USA. According to ForexFactory:

→ CPI month-on-month: actual = -0.1%, forecast = 0.1%, previous month = 0.0%;

→ CPI year-on-year: actual = 3.0%, forecast = 3.1%, previous month = 3.3%.

The data confirming the slowdown in inflation raised expectations that the Federal Reserve might lower interest rates as early as September. But why did the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) drop then? Yesterday, the tech stock index fell by over 2.1%, marking its worst day since early May.

The reason lies in rotation. Investors seem to have shifted their focus from the highly inflated tech stocks since the start of 2024 to other sectors. Approximately 400 companies in the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) showed growth. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (Wall Street 30 mini on FXOpen) closed in the green yesterday.

Bloomberg reports that Kelly Cox from Ritholtz Wealth Management believes this day could be a turning point for the markets. It also serves as a good reminder of the importance of diversification.

One of the drivers of yesterday's decline was NVDA shares, which fell by more than 5% in a day (we wrote about the bearish behaviour of Nvidia’s price and volumes just the day before).

What’s next?

The equal-weighted version of the S&P 500, where stocks like Nvidia have the same weight as Dollar Tree Inc., rose yesterday. This version of the index is less sensitive to the influence of large tech companies, making a case for the rally expanding to other stocks.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Analysis of USD/JPY: Was There an Intervention?

Yesterday’s news of slowing inflation in the US sharply weakened the dollar, anticipating the Federal Reserve’s monetary easing. In the first 15 minutes after the data release:

→ EUR/USD rose by approximately 0.45% to the psychological level of 1.09;

→ GBP/USD increased by approximately 0.55%, reaching a 2024 high.

Conversely, USD/JPY fell, with a more aggressive movement. As the chart shows, the dollar weakened against the yen by about 1.8% in the first 15 minutes after the release. This suggests that amidst the US news, the Bank of Japan intervened to support its currency, which hadn’t fallen below 160 yen per USD since June 26.

Reuters reports that Tokyo’s chief currency diplomat, Masato Kanda, stated on Friday that authorities would take necessary measures in the currency market but declined to comment on whether they had intervened.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Watch FXOpen's 8 - 12 July Weekly Market Wrap Video

Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: GBP/USD, EUR/USD, USD/JPY, XAU/USD, NVDA Stock

Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights.

• GBP/USD Hits Four-Month High Following GDP Growth News
• Market Analysis: EUR/USD Jumps, USD/JPY Bulls Seem Unstoppable
• XAU/USD Analysis: Gold Price Falls from Six-Week High
• Analysts Raise NVDA Forecasts, Stock Price Rises

Stay in the know and empower yourself with our short, yet power-packed video.

Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen.

Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.



FXOpen YouTube


Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

#fxopen #fxopenyoutube #fxopenint #weeklyvideo

 

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The Nikkei Index Has Risen To a Two-Month High

As we reported on 26th June, analysing the Nikkei 225 chart (Japan 225 on FXOpen):

→ The price is in a significant upward trend (shown by the blue channel);

→ The price may continue to rise along the median line.

Since then, the Nikkei 225 index (Japan 225 on FXOpen) has increased by more than 6%, reaching a yearly high on 10th July above 42,500 points. The price particularly surged on 9-10 July, breaking resistance at 41,160 (formed from the previous peak at the end of March).

However, the bears made a strong comeback afterwards, pushing the price back to the 41,160 level. Thus:

→ Completely offsetting the gains from 9-10 July;

→ Forming a bearish engulfing pattern spanning 4 candles;

→ Prompting consideration that the breakout above 41,160 was false (a trap for bulls).

According to Reuters, bearish drivers included technology stocks such as Tokyo Electron, which saw a more than 6% decline in one day, following sell-offs in US technology stocks (as reported on 12th July).

Sentiment in the Japanese stock market is also influenced by risks of interventions by the Bank of Japan to support the yen.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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EURUSD Technical Analysis – 16th JULY, 2024

EURUSD – Bearish Price Crossover

EURUSD was unable to sustain its bullish momentum and after touching a high of 1.0921 the prices started to decline against the United States dollar.
We can see the formation of Bearish price crossover pattern with Adaptive Moving average AMA20 in the 4-hourly timeframe.
The Parabolic SAR indicator is giving a bearish reversal signal in the 4-hourly timeframe.

The support of the channel is broken in the 15-minutes timeframe.
The Momentum indicator is also back under zero in the 4-hourly timeframe indicating the bearish nature of the market.
We have also seen the prices of EURUSD ranging near a new low record of 1-month.

EURUSD is now trading above its 100-hour SMA and 200-hour SMA simple moving averages.
• Euro Bearish Reversal seen below the 1.0921 mark.
• Short-term range appears to be Mildly Bearish.
• EURUSD continues to remain above the 1.0880 levels.
• Average true range ATR is indicating less market volatility.

The next support resistance is located at 1.0876 which is a Pivot Point 1st Support Point.
EURUSD is now trading below just near to its Pivot levels of 1.0889 and is moving into a Mild Bearish channel.

The price of EURUSD remains above its Classic support levels of 1.0878 and is moving towards its next target of 1.0871 which is a 14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 80%.

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check FXOpen Blog

 

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GBPUSD Technical Analysis – 16th JULY, 2024

GBPUSD – Bearish Harami Cross

GBPUSD was unable to continue its bullish momentum and after touching a high of 1.2993 the prices started to decline steadily against the United States dollar.
We can see the formation of Bearish Harami Cross pattern in the weekly timeframe.
The prices of GBPUSD are also ranging near horizontal resistance in the monthly timeframe.

We can also see the formation of Black gravestone/ inverted hammer pattern in the weekly timeframe which is also indicative of the bearish trends.
The prices of GBPUSD are moving near resistance of channel in both the daily and weekly timeframes.

GBPUSD is now trading above its 100-hour SMA and above its 200-hour SMA simple moving average.
• Pound Bearish Reversal seen below the 1.2993 mark.
• Short-term range appears to be Mild Bearish.
• GBPUSD continues to remain above the 1.2950 levels.
• Average true range ATR is indicating less market volatility.

GBPUSD is now trading just near to its Pivot levels of 1.2958 and is moving into a Mild Bearish channel.
The price of GBPUSD is above its Classic support levels of 1.2945 and is now moving towards its next target of 1.2955 which is a Pivot Point 1st Support Point.

We are also looking for the breach of the levels of 1.2942 which is a Pivot Point 2nd Support Point.

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check FXOpen Blog

 

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Insiders Are Selling Shares of Large Companies

Yesterday, the S&P 500 stock index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) set another historical high, closing near the 5650 level.

However, similar records are not observed on the charts of rally leaders from the first half of 2024 – NVDA's price is 8.6% below its historical high, MSFT is 3.1% lower, and GOOGL is 2.6% below its record.

And this isn't the only cause for concern. Insider sales, as indicated by reports to the SEC, could add to anxieties. For instance:

→ Bezos sold over $900 million worth of AMZN shares;

→ Nvidia board member Mark Stevens continues to sell NVDA shares, as does company CEO Jensen Huang.

According to Goldman Sachs, fund managers have increased their long positions in US stock index futures to record levels.

And according to a July survey of fund managers conducted by Bank Of America:

→ Market sentiment remains bullish amid expectations of a Fed rate cut and a soft landing for the economy;

→ Geopolitics now pose the biggest risk to markets, followed by inflation.

If professional market participants foresee further growth in the stock index, it might not be driven by shares of large companies.

On June 27, we discussed the bullish "cup and handle" pattern near the $190 level on the AMZN price chart. Since then, bulls have shown the ability to push the price towards the psychological level of $200, but they have not managed to sustain this success.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Post automatically merged: Jul 16, 2024

The EUR/USD Rate Set a 16-Week High

According to the EUR/USD chart, the euro to dollar exchange rate yesterday surpassed the peak from early June, rising above 1.092 – the last time the price was at this level was on March 21.

Bullish sentiments in the market were supported by:

→ Approaching Thursday's meeting of the European Central Bank – it is expected that interest rates will remain unchanged. However, attention will be focused on comments from its president Christine Lagarde regarding the timing of the next interest rate cut.

→ Expectations of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in September. As Reuters reports, Powell stated yesterday that economic indicators in the US for the second quarter "to some extent bolster the confidence" that inflation is returning to the target level in a sustainable manner.

As we mentioned in our analytical review of the EUR/USD chart on July 1:

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Market Analysis: AUD/USD and NZD/USD Poised For Fresh Gains

AUD/USD is attempting a fresh increase from the 0.6715 support. NZD/USD is also rising and could target the 0.6090 resistance.

Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD Analysis Today

• The Aussie Dollar found support at 0.6715 and recovered higher against the US Dollar.
• There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6740 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
• NZD/USD is consolidating above the 0.6050 support.
• There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6060 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair formed a base above 0.6715. The Aussie Dollar started a decent recovery wave above the 0.6725 resistance against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the previous analysis.

The bulls pushed the pair above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6793 swing high to the 0.6714 low. However, the pair is still below the 50-hour simple moving average.

On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near the 0.6740 zone. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6740.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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The Dollar Corrected After a Sharp Decline. Will the Uptrend Resume?

A sustained decline in the core consumer price index in the US contributed to a sharp pullback in the American currency. The GBP/USD currency pair is trading near the psychological level of 1.3000, EUR/USD buyers are attempting to hold above 1.0900, and USD/JPY has lost over 300 pips in just two days. However, after the release of positive retail sales data yesterday, the dollar managed to recover some of its losses. Let's consider whether it is possible for the USD to resume its upward trend and what factors might influence this.

GBP/USD

The British currency strengthened sharply after the Labour Party's victory in the recent parliamentary elections. The slow but steady economic growth and reduction in political uncertainty are playing into the hands of the British currency: the GBP/USD pair is preparing to test the year's highs at 1.3140-1.3100.

Technical analysis of GBP/USD indicates the possibility of continued growth, as a “bullish engulfing” pattern was formed on the weekly timeframe after breaking through the resistance at 1.2850. The primary target for the upward movement is the range of 1.3140-1.3100. If pound buyers manage to hold above these levels, a rise to the strategic levels of 1.3600-1.3500 is possible. In the case of a drop below 1.2900, a downward correction towards 1.2870-1.2850 is likely.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Post automatically merged: Jul 17, 2024

US Banks Set a Bullish Tone at the Start of Earnings Season

Company earnings reports for the second quarter will be a crucial driver of stock market movements in the coming weeks. Traditionally, the largest banks kick off the earnings season, and their performance indicators today are setting a bullish tone.

For example:

Bank of America (BAC), report published on 16th July:

→ Earnings per share: actual = $0.83, expected = $0.797;

→ Gross income: actual = $25.37 billion, expected = $25.22 billion;

Goldman Sachs (GS), report published on 15th July:

→ Earnings per share: actual = $8.62, expected = $8.35;

→ Gross income: actual = $12.73 billion, expected = $12.35 billion.

Other major banks, including JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Citigroup (C), and Wells Fargo (WFC), have also surpassed analysts' expectations. Although following different trajectories, the stock prices of all the listed banks have generally been rising after the publication of their earnings reports.

Notably, the formation on the XLF chart is interesting – this is the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF, which is focused on the financial sector and includes the shares of the largest US banks. You can trade this ETF with FXOpen, taking advantage of CFD instruments.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Analysis of XAU/USD: Gold Price Sets Historical Record

As the XAU/USD chart shows, on 16th July, the gold price rose above $2460 for the first time in history. The bullish sentiment is driven by:

→ Anticipation of Fed rate cuts, as the appeal of non-yielding bullion generally increases in low-interest-rate environments.

→ Geopolitical tensions, with an attempt on Trump's life possibly boosting demand for the "safe-haven asset."

→ Demand from central banks.

Reuters reports that analysts at Commonwealth Bank of Australia believe the gold price could exceed their forecast of $2500 per ounce by the end of 2024. "It is worth highlighting gold's ability to find support under any conditions this year," they say.

Can the gold price rise further?

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Analytical ECB Rate Predictions for 2024, 2025 and Beyond

With the European Central Bank recently cutting interest rates for the first time since its hiking cycle began in 2022, many are wondering where the ECB’s policy rate may be headed next. This article provides an analysis of the projected ECB interest rates for 2024, 2025, and beyond, exploring the factors influencing these rates and offering insights into future economic conditions.

Current Eurozone Interest Rate Environment

As of June 2024, the European Central Bank (ECB) has recently cut its interest rates for the first time since 2016, lowering the deposit rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%. The ECB’s current interest rate on the main refinancing operations is 4.25%. This decision comes after a series of substantial rate hikes implemented between mid-2022 and September 2023, which were necessary to combat the peak inflation observed during that period.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

 

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EURUSD Technical Analysis – 17th JULY, 2024

EURUSD – Moving Average Bullish Crossovers

EURUSD was unable to sustain its bearish momentum and after forming a low of 1.0871 on 16th July the prices started to bounce upwards against the United States dollar.
We can see the formation of Moving Average Bullish Crossovers pattern with the Adaptive Moving Average AMA20 and AMA50 in the 30-minutes timeframe.
The resistance of the channel is broken in the 1-hourly timeframe.

We have also detected the formation of Ichimoku - Bullish crossover: Tenkan & Kijun in the 1-hourly timeframe.
We can see the formation of a Long white line in the 2-hourly timeframe which is indicative of the bullish trend present in the market.
The Aroon indicator is also giving a bullish trend signal in the 4-hourly timeframe.

EURUSD is now trading above its 100-hour SMA and 200-hour SMA simple moving averages.
• Euro Bullish Reversal seen above the 1.0871 mark.
• Short-term range appears to be Strongly Bullish.
• EURUSD continues to remain above the 1.0925 levels.
• Average true range ATR is indicating high market volatility.

The next resistance is located at 1.0944 which is a 1-Month High.
EURUSD is now trading just above its Pivot levels of 1.0931 and is moving into a Strong Bullish channel.

The price of EURUSD remains above its Classic support levels of 1.0918 and is moving towards its next target of 1.0954 which is a 14 Day RSI at 70%.

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check FXOpen Blog

Post automatically merged: Jul 17, 2024

GBPUSD Technical Analysis – 17th JULY, 2024

GBPUSD – Resistance of the Channel is Broken

GBPUSD was unable to continue its bearish momentum and after touching a low of 1.2941 on 16th July the prices started to bounce upwards against the United States dollar.
We can see that the Resistance of the Channel is Broken in both the 15-minutes and 1-hourly timeframes.
We can see the formation of Bullish Trend Reversal pattern with the Moving Average MA50 in the weekly timeframe.

We can also see the formation of Three White Soldiers pattern in the weekly timeframe which is also indicative of the bullish trends.
The prices of GBPUSD are moving near new high record of 1 months.
GBPUSD is now trading above its 100-hour SMA and above its 200-hour SMA simple moving average.
• Pound Bullish Reversal seen above the 1.2941 mark.
• Short-term range appears to be Strongly Bullish.
• GBPUSD continues to remain above the 1.3030 levels.
• Average true range ATR is indicating high market volatility.

GBPUSD is now trading just above its Pivot levels of 1.3022 and is moving into a Strongly Bullish channel.
The price of GBPUSD is above its Classic support levels of 1.3013 and is now moving towards its next target of 1.3042 which is a 1-Month High.

We are also looking for the breach of the levels of 1.3109 which is a Price 1 Standard Deviation Resistance.

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check FXOpen Blog

 

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Commodity Currencies in Stable Ranges: Should We Expect a Breakout?

The currency pairs AUD/USD and USD/CAD, unlike the pairs with the Euro, Yen, and Sterling, continue to demonstrate long-term stability. These pairs have been trading in narrow price corridors for several months. Given the weakening of the dollar in many directions, there is a high likelihood of increased volatility and a breakout from the flat channels in commodity currencies.

USD/CAD

Last week, the USD/CAD pair sharply rebounded from the significant support at 1.3600, forming a bullish "hammer" pattern. Technical analysis of the pair suggests a potential resumption of the upward movement if the buyers manage to consolidate above 1.3700. It is worth noting that the price is testing this level for the second time this week. The inability of dollar bulls to overcome this resistance could push the price back to 1.3600-1.3580.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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GBP/USD Exchange Rate Rises Above 1.3000 on Inflation News

As evidenced by the GBP/USD chart, yesterday the exchange rate rose above the psychological level of 1.3000 USD per pound for the first time in 12 months.

The strengthening of the British currency occurred after the release of inflation news. According to ForexFactory:

→ Year-on-year Consumer Price Index (CPI): actual = 2.0%, forecast = 1.9%, previous = 2.0%;

→ Year-on-year Core CPI: actual = 3.5%, forecast = 3.4%, previous = 3.5%.

Thus, analysts' expectations of a slowdown in inflation were not met, giving market participants a reason to believe that the Bank of England's tight policy would continue for a longer period, providing a bullish boost for the GBP.

However, in the second half of yesterday, the bears managed to “extinguish” all the progress from the bullish momentum. A bearish engulfing pattern formed on the chart (shown with an arrow).

Moreover, bearish activity intensified this morning after the release of labour market news. The number of jobless claims (Claimant Count Change) filed in the previous month was 32.3K, whereas analysts had expected 23.4K.

This has clouded expectations regarding the future policy of the Bank of England – whether it will keep rates at the current high level of 5.25%, or start to reduce them.

In any case, the pound exchange rate fell below the psychological level of 1.3000 today, raising the possibility of a false bullish breakout. What can the chart suggest about whether this scenario will actually play out?

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Post automatically merged: Jul 18, 2024

NVDA Stock Price Recovers After 1.5-Month Low

Yesterday, NVDA’s stock price fell to 116.61 – its lowest level since June 5th.

The bearish sentiment was triggered by Trump’s cautious remarks regarding the necessity to defend Taiwan from the threat of military action by China. The leading pre-election candidate suggested in a Bloomberg interview that the island should pay for US defensive support, leading to a drop in semiconductor manufacturers' stock prices: TSMC fell by 8%, and Nvidia shares dropped by 6.6% during yesterday's session, as its primary AI chip producer is Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing.

However, today in pre-market trading, NVDA's price is recovering, rising above $120 per share. How might the situation develop further?

Let us recall that on 10th July, we wrote about strong seller pressure above the $130 per share level. Since then, the price has declined by approximately 9%.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[Resolve]

EURUSD Technical Analysis – 18th JULY, 2024

EURUSD – Bullish Price Crossover

EURUSD entered into a consolidation phase after which we can see it touched a low of 1.0923 on 17th July as the prices continue to rise upwards against the United States dollar.
We can see the formation of Bullish price crossover pattern with the Adaptive Moving Average AMA50 in the 30-minutes timeframe.
We can also see the formation of a Bullish Harami pattern in both the 1 hour and 2-hourly timeframe.
The Parabolic SAR indicator is also giving a Bullish reversal signal in the 1-hourly timeframe. The prices of GBPUSD are ranging near the horizontal support in the 15-minutes timeframe.

We have also detected the formation of Bullish Trend reversal pattern with the Adaptive Moving average AMA20 and AMA100 in the 15-minutes timeframe.
EURUSD is now trading above its 100-hour SMA and 200-hour SMA simple moving averages.

• Euro Bullish Continuation seen above the 1.0923 mark.
• Short-term range appears to be Mildly Bullish.
• EURUSD continues to remain above the 1.0910 levels.
• Average true range ATR is indicating less market volatility.

The next resistance is located at 1.0927 which is also a Pivot point.
EURUSD is now trading just below its Pivot levels of 1.0929 and is moving into a Mild Bullish channel.

The price of EURUSD remains above its Classic support levels of 1.0916 and is moving towards its next target of 1.0937 which is a 61.8% Retracement from the 52 Week Low.

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check FXOpen Blog

Post automatically merged: Jul 18, 2024

GBPUSD Technical Analysis – 18th JULY, 2024

GBPUSD – Bullish Price Crossover

GBPUSD continues its bullish correction wave after touching a low of 1.2965 on 17th July as we can see the prices continue to rise upwards against the United States dollar.
We can see the formation of Bullish price crossover pattern with the Adaptive Moving Average AMA20 and AMA50 in the 4-hourly timeframes.
The Resistance of the channel is broken in the weekly timeframe.
The prices of GBPUSD are ranging near the horizontal support in the 1-hourly timeframe.
Some of the technical indicators are also giving a neutral tone present in the markets.
We have seen GBPUSD touching a high of 1.3043 after which we can see some declines as the prices have entered into a consolidation wave at present.

GBPUSD is now trading above its 100-hour SMA and above its 200-hour SMA simple moving average.
• Pound Bullish Continuation seen above the 1.2965 mark.
• Short-term range appears to be Mildly Bullish.
• GBPUSD continues to remain above the 1.2980 levels.
• Average true range ATR is indicating less market volatility.

GBPUSD is now trading just above its Pivot levels of 1.2984 and is moving into a Mildly Bullish channel.
The price of GBPUSD is above its Classic support levels of 1.2961 and is now moving towards its next target of 1.2984 which is a 14 Day RSI at 70%.
We are also looking for the breach of the levels of 1.3044 which is a 1-Month High.

Disclaimer: This analysis represents my own opinion only. It is not to be construed as an opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or financial advice of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand.

For in-depth analysis, please check FXOpen Blog