Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

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Market Analysis: AUD/USD and NZD/USD Struggle to Sustain Gains—What’s Next?

AUD/USD declined below the 0.6320 and 0.6300 support levels. NZD/USD is also moving lower and might extend losses below 0.5700.

Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD Analysis Today

• The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline from well above the 0.6320 level against the US Dollar.
• There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6300 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
• NZD/USD declined steadily from the 0.5760 resistance zone.
• There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.5715 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 0.6330 zone. The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline below the 0.6300 support against the US Dollar, as discussed in the previous analysis.

The pair even settled below 0.6280 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a clear move below 0.6270. A low was formed at 0.6269 and the pair is now consolidating losses.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 31 March - 4 April

Market Insights with Gary Thomson: UK & US Inflation, US Durable Goods Orders, and Earnings Reports

In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!

In this episode, we discuss:

- RBA Interest Rate Decision
- US Nonfarm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate
- Unemployment Rate in Canada
- Corporate Earnings Statements

Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey.






Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen.

Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.

Disclaimer: This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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What Are the Most Popular Momentum Indicators for Trading?

Want to master the art of momentum trading? Look no further. In this FXOpen article, we’ll explore how to use momentum indicators, the signals they generate, and five most popular momentum indicators for trading.

What Is a Momentum Indicator?

Momentum in technical analysis refers to the rate at which an asset's price accelerates or decelerates, helping traders identify potential trend continuations or reversals.

A momentum indicator is a tool used in technical analysis to measure the speed and strength of an asset’s price movements. By analysing changes in price over a specific period, these indicators provide insights into the underlying force driving market trends.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Brent Crude Oil Price Rises Above $71

Brent crude oil is trading above $71 per barrel today, marking its highest level since late February. As shown on the XBR/USD chart, the price surged by approximately 2.6% on the last day of March.

Why Has Oil Risen?
Bullish sentiment in the market is driven by the US President’s stance on Russia and Iran. According to Trading Economics:

➝ Trump has vowed to impose tariffs of 25–50% on buyers of Russian oil if he believes Moscow is obstructing his efforts to end the war in Ukraine. This could put pressure on key importers such as India and China.
➝ He has also threatened Iran with further tariffs and airstrikes until the country agrees to abandon its nuclear weapons programme.

The rise in Brent crude prices appears to reflect traders’ concerns over potential disruptions to global oil supply chains.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Moderna (MRNA) Shares Plunge Nearly 9%

Moderna (MRNA) shares tumbled by approximately 8.9%, falling below $29—marking their lowest level since April 2020, when global markets were shaken by the COVID-19 pandemic.

Since the start of 2025, MRNA’s share price has declined by around 32%.

Why Did MRNA Shares Drop?
On Monday, MRNA led the decline among US biotech stocks following the resignation of Peter Marks, director of the FDA’s Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research. Marks had held this position for over a decade.

During Trump’s first term, Marks oversaw the rollout of COVID-19 vaccines and established guidelines for emerging treatments such as cell and gene therapy.

However, in Trump’s second term, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. now serves as Health Secretary. According to The Wall Street Journal, Marks criticised Kennedy’s stance on vaccines in his resignation letter, calling it “misinformation and lies.”

The pharmaceutical industry was already under pressure amid speculation that Trump’s tariff plans could extend to prescription drugs, which are typically exempt from such measures. Marks' departure has further intensified uncertainty regarding regulatory decisions under the new administration.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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What Is Random Walk Theory and Its Implications in Trading?

Random walk theory argues that market prices move erratic, making it difficult to analyse past data for an advantage. It suggests that technical and fundamental analysis provide little to no edge, as prices instantly reflect all available information. While some traders embrace this idea, others challenge it. This article explores the theory, its implications, criticisms, and what it means for traders navigating financial markets.

What Is Random Walk Theory?

Random walk theory reflects the idea that financial markets move erratic, making it impossible to analyse past price data for an advantage. The theory argues that price changes are random and independent, meaning past movements don’t influence future direction. This challenges both technical and fundamental analysis, arguing traders who attempt to time the market are essentially guessing.

The concept was first introduced by Maurice Kendall in 1953, who found no meaningful patterns in stock prices. Later, Burton Malkiel popularised it in A Random Walk Down Wall Street (1973), arguing that a blindfolded monkey throwing darts at a stock list would perform as well as professional traders. The underlying principle is that markets are efficient, instantly reflecting all available information.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Market Analysis: GBP/USD Eyes Fresh Gains While USD/CAD Dips

GBP/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.2900 zone. USD/CAD declined and now consolidates below the 1.4350 level.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and USD/CAD Analysis Today

• The British Pound is eyeing more gains above the 1.2970 resistance.
• There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.2935 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
• USD/CAD started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the 1.4415 resistance.
• There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support at 1.4310 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair formed a base above the 1.2870 level. The British Pound started a steady increase above the 1.2900 resistance zone against the US Dollar, as discussed in the previous analysis.

The pair surpassed the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2972 swing high to the 1.2879 low. The pair is now consolidating near the 1.2925 zone and the 1.2420 level and the 50-hour simple moving average.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Market Braces for Increased Volatility Ahead of New Tariffs

Amid global economic uncertainty and anticipation of new tariffs, major currency pairs continue to test key levels. In recent weeks, market participants have been exercising caution, awaiting potential changes in trade policy that could significantly impact exchange rates. The introduction of new tariffs by the Trump administration could also put pressure on European currencies, adding another layer of uncertainty and volatility to the market. In the coming days, investors will focus on which tariffs will take effect from April and how this might influence the trajectory of leading currency pairs.

EUR/USD

The euro, after rebounding from 1.0950, tested key support at 1.0730 and is currently trading within a narrow range of 1.0850–1.0750. Technical analysis of EUR/USD suggests a possible continuation of the downward trend, as a series of bearish reversal patterns has formed on the daily chart.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Gold Prices Hover Near Record Highs Ahead of Trump’s Tariff Announcement

As shown on the XAU/USD chart today, gold prices are fluctuating near their all-time high, set when the price of an ounce surpassed $3,140 for the first time in history.

Gold has risen by approximately 19% in the first three months of 2025.

Why Is Gold Rising?
On 2 April, traders' sentiment is driving gold prices higher in anticipation of US President Trump’s tariff announcements, expected later this evening.

This event enhances gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset, as concerns grow that Trump’s aggressive trade policies could slow global economic growth and fuel inflation.

Additionally, media reports highlight strong demand for gold from central banks, while exchange-traded funds linked to the precious metal are seeing capital inflows from investors concerned about geopolitical uncertainty.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Shares Drop Over 7%

As the chart shows, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) shares declined by approximately 7.6%, reaching their lowest level since late February. This marked one of the worst performances in the stock market yesterday.

Why Did JNJ Shares Fall?
Two major bearish factors contributed to the decline:

A Texas judge rejected Johnson & Johnson's third attempt to settle lawsuits related to allegations that its baby powder and other talc-based products harmed consumers.
On Tuesday, Johnson & Johnson announced that its upcoming acquisition of Intra-Cellular Therapies is expected to dilute adjusted earnings per share by approximately $0.25 for the full year 2025. Investors appear to have reacted negatively to this outlook, despite the company’s expectation that the deal will generate around $700 million in additional sales.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.